inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 88 Excitement7.1 [379] MVPMichael Smith (WAS): +21.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 83 Comeback26.2 [27] LVPMatt Harpring (CLE): -15.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Smith0.210,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.210.080.140.01681%0.2100.00475%0.01
Hubert Davis0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011164%0.122-0.0900%0.00
David Vanterpool0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Smith-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Courtney Alexander-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.00-0.08-0.01867%0.063-0.132100%0.01
Mitch Richmond-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08-0.06-0.000.011157%0.054-0.13887%0.07
Jahidi White-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.050.00858%0.013-0.103100%0.02
Christian Laettner-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00333%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.0050%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.120,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12-0.06-0.09-0.031646%-0.042-0.085100%0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.1,0.10.100.010.09-0.001154%0.131-0.03250%-0.01
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.060.030.02-0.01764%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.00683%0.122-0.0800%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03-0.030.08-0.090.021760%0.011-0.041100%0.00
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.01-0.00736%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.00839%-0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.01-0.110.01955%-0.072-0.062100%0.02
Jim Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.03-0.0168%-0.102-0.041100%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.120.02837%-0.1600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.524.315.423.21.838.4127.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +14.5%
WAS +40.2%
WAS +23.0%
CLE -23.6%
CLE -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game16.317.015.5101.196.5100.9
season15.215.398.698.4
opponent15.615.2102.6105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.716.117.914.516.3
CLE16.017.417.217.417.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Smith47450.99-0.491.480.5515-102516.815.71.0217.116.90.23
Richard Hamilton63640.91-0.411.330.4416-112716.116.9-0.8016.518.4-1.83
Jahidi White62610.85-0.351.200.4115-102516.515.80.6417.017.1-0.11
Mitch Richmond72710.78-0.281.070.2618-133116.415.90.5216.718.3-1.62
Hubert Davis69680.75-0.251.010.4311-61716.714.72.0616.717.9-1.19
David Vanterpool54-0.020.52-0.530.01-16-716.016.3-0.3223.016.76.29
Mike Smith66-0.210.71-0.910.09-1015-2515.016.4-1.4015.217.1-1.97
Christian Laettner4141-0.420.92-1.33-0.12-1015-2515.417.1-1.7216.917.1-0.23
Popeye Jones2323-0.440.94-1.38-0.09-1217-2917.016.01.0118.216.61.66
Courtney Alexander4747-0.711.21-1.92-0.21-1722-3915.716.9-1.2117.616.31.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bimbo Coles28260.58-1.081.650.2212-172917.116.90.1616.216.3-0.10
Robert Traylor42430.50-1.001.500.0914-193317.416.60.7417.315.32.03
Wesley Person50500.45-0.951.400.0713-183117.716.01.7216.216.4-0.19
Jim Jackson3132-0.17-0.330.170.04-72-915.617.8-2.1217.715.52.30
Chris Gatling4446-0.20-0.300.10-0.448-132118.515.43.0715.916.7-0.82
Chris Mihm2626-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-116-1716.717.1-0.4417.415.81.60
Lamond Murray5555-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.392-7917.815.62.1215.517.7-2.30
Matt Harpring3637-0.950.45-1.40-0.42-1813-3116.017.7-1.7216.416.20.19
Clar. Weatherspoon5858-1.000.50-1.50-0.44-1914-3316.218.7-2.5415.617.8-2.19
Andre Miller6062-1.090.59-1.69-0.54-1914-3316.518.1-1.6016.116.8-0.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.31,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 85, NJN 830.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.73,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.57,0.41,092.4%
POR 100, NYK 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.45,0.58,092.1%
MEM 102, PHX 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.55,0.16,090.9%