NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	7.7 [298]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +25.8%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	22.4 [22]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -24.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.28,0.26	0.09	0.18	0.01	20	65%	0.34	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.05	0.10	-0.04	13	47%	0.10	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Rodney Buford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	14	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Grant Long	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.18,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	15	48%	-0.08	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.01	19	57%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Crispin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.03,-0.12,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	16	47%	0.02	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.08	-0.02	20	30%	-0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	14	37%	-0.14	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	29.3	15.7	25.4	2.3	31.6	130.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +53.6%

MEM +10.6%

PHX -4.0%

PHX -9.5%

PHX -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	15.6	107.4	98.0	102.3
season	15.7	15.1		96.0	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.5	16.1	18.4	14.7	15.6
PHX	14.7	14.6	14.4	13.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	68	70	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.43	13	-7	20	15.4	16.1	-0.71	14.8	13.0	1.76
Shane Battier	80	82	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-8	22	15.0	18.5	-3.44	14.4	13.8	0.58
Pau Gasol	77	80	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-8	22	15.8	14.7	1.04	14.8	11.8	3.02
Stromile Swift	58	59	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.58	4	2	2	15.8	15.2	0.58	13.9	14.9	-1.04
Grant Long	81	83	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-3	12	15.8	14.1	1.76	14.9	10.9	4.05
Brevin Knight	27	28	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.11	-7	13	-20	16.1	15.4	0.71	13.0	14.8	-1.76
Rodney Buford	31	33	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.11	-9	15	-24	15.4	15.6	-0.22	11.9	15.5	-3.64
Tony Massenburg	53	55	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.22	-8	14	-22	15.5	15.6	-0.05	14.3	14.3	0.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	45	44	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-8	10	15.3	13.5	1.84	15.7	15.5	0.21
Joe Crispin	24	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.06	5	-11	16	13.1	14.7	-1.61	14.7	15.9	-1.15
Bo Outlaw	30	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.17	-3	-3	0	15.7	13.7	2.02	16.4	15.2	1.26
Tony Delk	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-7	8	14.8	14.1	0.67	15.0	15.8	-0.81
John Wallace	17	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	13.9	14.4	-0.50	13.1	16.1	-3.01
Shawn Marion	82	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	14.0	15.8	-1.81	15.9	14.1	1.81
Jake Tsakalidis	45	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-4	2	13.5	15.0	-1.45	16.0	15.2	0.89
Anfernee Hardaway	92	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	14.4	12.2	2.27	15.5	17.0	-1.55
Stephon Marbury	74	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	5	-16	14.7	13.1	1.61	15.9	14.7	1.15
Rodney Rogers	59	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.48	-5	-1	-4	13.5	15.4	-1.89	15.4	15.9	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.55,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.31,0	90.9%
IND 82, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.27,0	90.7%
DET 98, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.71,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.57,0.17,0	90.5%