NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	82		Excitement	6.9 [462]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +8.5%
Boston Celtics	79		Comeback	9.2 [89]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -28.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	13	65%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.08	0.12	-0.03	14	32%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	18	64%	0.15	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.03
Scot Pollard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.03	0.01	16	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	15	87%	-0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.14	-0.03	16	56%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29	-0.29	-0.18	-0.11	0.00	8	30%	-0.14	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	484.4	3.7	32.8	18.0	31.0	2.8	41.1	613.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +56.6%

BOS -0.2%

BOS -18.2%

IND +10.1%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	18.7	16.7	15.5	101.2	96.3	104.0
season	16.8	14.4		101.9	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.5		104.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	21.4	20.1	20.1	18.7
BOS	17.2	17.6	15.1	16.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	65	64	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.59	4	-1	5	19.1	17.1	2.00	16.3	18.1	-1.76
Jermaine O'Neal	65	65	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.35	12	-9	21	18.9	17.9	0.99	16.8	16.2	0.56
James Jones	30	31	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-4	11	19.1	18.4	0.69	16.8	16.6	0.15
Stephen Jackson	61	61	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.51	4	-1	5	18.0	20.6	-2.63	16.6	16.9	-0.23
Reggie Miller	66	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-5	13	18.3	20.2	-1.88	16.3	18.8	-2.57
Austin Croshere	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	6	-9	18.5	18.7	-0.17	17.8	16.4	1.40
Dale Davis	43	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.16	2	1	1	18.7	18.7	-0.03	15.4	18.1	-2.76
Fred Jones	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	7	-11	17.8	19.3	-1.53	17.9	15.8	2.10
Jeff Foster	12	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	7	-11	20.7	18.3	2.45	17.5	16.5	1.02
Scot Pollard	13	15	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	14	-25	20.2	18.4	1.77	18.8	16.2	2.59

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	29	26	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.14	8	-11	19	18.4	15.7	2.73	22.1	17.1	5.02
Al Jefferson	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-3	3	20.9	15.7	5.20	18.6	18.7	-0.08
Marcus Banks	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	19.1	16.1	3.03	19.2	18.5	0.65
Tony Allen	25	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	4	-11	15.4	17.3	-1.90	14.5	20.4	-5.86
Raef LaFrentz	48	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	0	-3	15.3	18.6	-3.31	17.1	21.0	-3.86
Delonte West	19	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.45	5	-8	13	15.1	17.2	-2.12	21.2	17.9	3.29
Ricky Davis	58	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-5	7	17.2	15.3	1.91	20.6	14.1	6.45
Antoine Walker	67	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	3	-9	16.1	19.1	-3.00	18.6	19.1	-0.49
Paul Pierce	72	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	4	-11	16.7	16.6	0.09	18.6	19.0	-0.37
Gary Payton	61	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.42	-8	5	-13	16.3	17.7	-1.32	17.5	22.0	-4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.86,0.9,0.77,0.42,0	91.9%
NOK 91, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.78,0.55,0.28,0	90.9%
LAC 105, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.58,0	90.8%