NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	9.1 [106]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +40.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Comeback	10.8 [189]		LVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): -27.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.41	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.03,-0.02,0.05,-0.03,0.41	0.08	0.31	-0.01	22	58%	0.54	3	-0.14	6	67%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.00	10	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	1	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	13	42%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Luol Deng	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	5	75%	0.15	4	-0.23	2	50%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.11	0.00	7	85%	0.32	2	-0.12	6	50%	-0.12
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	6	83%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.01	19	47%	0.10	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.06
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.17	-0.01	18	35%	-0.08	2	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.19	-0.02	16	39%	-0.19	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	30.2	15.4	27.4	1.7	36.2	136.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.9%

CHI +21.0%

CLE -0.1%

CLE -2.1%

CLE -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.5	95.7	90.2	105.7
season	15.7	15.1		106.5	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.9		110.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	16.7	15.4	13.1	15.1
CLE	18.1	15.3	14.6	16.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	61	61	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.35	20	-15	35	13.3	18.7	-5.41	15.6	17.4	-1.86
Joakim Noah	71	72	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-5	15	15.9	12.6	3.24	15.5	18.7	-3.28
Kyle Korver	43	43	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	0	5	14.3	15.8	-1.45	16.3	16.1	0.13
Luol Deng	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	-1	7	15.1	15.6	-0.54	16.0	17.3	-1.24
Derrick Rose	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	2	1	15.0	15.7	-0.75	15.4	19.1	-3.61
Taj Gibson	41	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	-2	9	13.9	16.1	-2.20	17.9	14.9	2.99
Keith Bogans	15	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	18.8	14.4	4.40	16.7	16.1	0.66
Omer Asik	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	10	-15	10.7	15.5	-4.79	19.1	15.9	3.24
CJ Watson	28	29	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.13	-4	9	-13	16.4	14.6	1.78	19.3	14.7	4.61
Carlos Boozer	37	37	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.08	-13	18	-31	17.9	13.3	4.64	15.1	16.9	-1.85

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jawad Williams	36	36	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.15	2	-7	9	18.7	14.6	4.12	14.7	15.4	-0.61
Ryan Hollins	21	21	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-9	13	18.1	15.6	2.48	12.1	16.0	-3.92
Manny Harris	38	39	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.16	-2	-3	1	18.7	14.4	4.30	14.5	15.6	-1.05
JJ Hickson	18	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	17.7	15.8	1.91	13.8	15.4	-1.66
Antawn Jamison	66	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-3	1	15.1	18.9	-3.76	15.4	14.4	0.93
Mo Williams	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-2	-1	15.4	19.1	-3.61	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Daniel Gibson	73	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.45	-5	0	-5	15.6	18.4	-2.75	15.6	13.5	2.13
Anderson Varejao	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	4	-13	15.6	18.1	-2.48	16.0	12.1	3.92
Anthony Parker	64	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.45	-10	5	-15	15.4	17.9	-2.46	15.4	14.4	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.86,0.9,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.27,0	91.9%
MEM 81, GSW 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.82,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.28,0	90.7%
SAC 110, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.55,0.57,0	90.6%