NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	9.3 [117]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +25.9%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	4.8 [118]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): -10.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.26	0.00	0.24	-0.02	13	57%	0.37	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.28,0.18,0.18	-0.00	0.18	-0.01	17	42%	0.18	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	9	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	0.00	8	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Quincy Acy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.05	0.01	19	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Aaron Gray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	10	60%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.09	-0.00	26	61%	0.37	5	-0.35	10	90%	0.04
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	52%	0.01	3	-0.07	11	45%	-0.06
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	11	46%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	27.3	16.5	32.7	2.0	33.0	140.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.4%

SAC +9.0%

HOU -16.7%

SAC +24.1%

HOU -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.1	114.6	110.4	105.2
season	15.4	14.3		104.5	109.5
opponent	15.2	14.7		105.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.6	15.3	17.3	13.4	15.7
HOU	13.4	14.7	11.5	17.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	84	85	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-6	16	15.5	16.9	-1.39	14.4	13.5	0.96
Isaiah Thomas	72	72	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-2	8	15.7	15.6	0.10	13.2	17.7	-4.49
Jason Thompson	58	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-5	14	16.0	15.2	0.85	13.5	15.4	-1.91
DeMarcus Cousins	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-2	8	15.5	16.1	-0.53	14.4	14.2	0.19
Ben McLemore	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.51	0	4	-4	15.1	16.4	-1.23	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Marcus Thornton	40	41	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	0	4	16.4	15.2	1.29	13.3	15.1	-1.80
Travis Outlaw	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	4	-4	14.3	15.9	-1.56	18.7	13.7	5.08
Derrick Williams	35	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	8	-12	14.7	16.3	-1.59	16.4	13.0	3.38
Aaron Gray	17	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	10	-16	17.2	15.4	1.87	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Jimmer Fredette	24	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	5	-6	15.6	15.7	-0.10	17.2	13.3	3.92
Quincy Acy	19	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	8	-12	17.3	15.3	2.02	12.9	14.6	-1.69

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	31	31	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-6	8	16.4	13.3	3.08	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Francisco Garcia	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-3	2	17.0	13.1	3.97	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Aaron Brooks	30	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	0	-4	15.9	13.6	2.32	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Chandler Parsons	80	81	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-6	8	13.6	17.7	-4.14	16.4	11.7	4.70
Dwight Howard	89	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	0	-4	14.4	13.6	0.79	15.8	14.7	1.06
Jeremy Lin	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-2	0	13.5	16.5	-2.96	15.8	15.3	0.57
Terrence Jones	72	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	1	-6	13.3	17.2	-3.87	16.0	14.8	1.15
James Harden	78	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	4	-12	14.1	15.3	-1.27	15.6	16.2	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.55,0.57,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	91.6%
CHA 110, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.66,0.42,0	90.7%
CHI 88, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.86,0.9,0.77,0.42,0	90.6%