NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	9.2 [129]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +50.4%
Toronto Raptors	106		Comeback	7.0 [98]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -10.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.50	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.31,0.5	0.12	0.37	-0.01	11	72%	0.53	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.14	-0.01	11	75%	0.32	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,0.06,0.22	-0.08	0.30	-0.00	25	37%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.01	12	60%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	4	90%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Jeremy Lamb	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	76%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	9	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.03,0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.32	0.32	0.03	0.28	-0.01	24	51%	0.38	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.06
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	6	87%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	14	64%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	8	59%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.05	4	75%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	12	54%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	29.9	14.5	23.4	2.4	34.2	127.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +49.5%

TOR -9.4%

CHA +10.8%

CHA +1.6%

TOR -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	14.8	118.3	115.2	107.7
season	15.1	15.2		107.9	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	15.6	16.8	17.4	16.4
TOR	15.6	15.0	14.5	13.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	49	49	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-10	24	18.2	14.3	3.97	15.7	13.7	2.04
Marvin Williams	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	3	-2	16.2	16.8	-0.63	14.2	16.3	-2.07
Nicolas Batum	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	3	-2	15.1	18.3	-3.21	14.2	15.6	-1.35
Jeremy Lamb	16	17	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-8	20	18.4	15.9	2.43	16.4	14.4	2.03
Cody Zeller	50	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.50	-6	10	-16	17.2	15.4	1.72	15.0	14.5	0.54
Brian Roberts	22	22	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-9	22	17.5	16.0	1.55	16.1	14.3	1.75
Frank Kaminsky	38	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	-8	20	16.0	16.6	-0.66	14.9	14.6	0.32
Kemba Walker	71	70	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	13	-22	16.0	17.5	-1.55	14.3	16.1	-1.75
Miles Plumlee	29	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.16	1	3	-2	15.9	16.6	-0.68	15.4	14.5	0.92
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	64	62	-0.69	1.19	-1.89	-0.14	-19	23	-42	15.5	18.2	-2.68	14.0	16.3	-2.23

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	56	55	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.02	10	-14	24	15.0	14.3	0.70	15.8	17.1	-1.30
DeMarre Carroll	49	48	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.02	10	-14	24	14.3	15.3	-1.06	17.3	15.3	2.00
Cory Joseph	69	71	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.42	11	-15	26	14.0	17.0	-2.99	15.9	17.9	-1.96
DeMar DeRozan	75	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-12	20	14.4	16.4	-2.03	15.9	18.4	-2.43
Patrick Patterson	39	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	4	-12	16.4	13.5	2.86	18.1	15.2	2.94
Jakob Poeltl	10	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	5	-14	17.7	14.4	3.30	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Delon Wright	25	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	10	-24	16.7	14.0	2.64	17.8	15.9	1.98
Serge Ibaka	58	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-5	6	13.9	16.2	-2.25	15.2	18.4	-3.18
PJ Tucker	43	45	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.37	-13	9	-22	14.4	15.0	-0.60	16.1	16.6	-0.49
Norman Powell	36	37	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.46	-16	12	-28	15.0	14.6	0.39	17.1	15.9	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.66,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 81, GSW 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.82,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.28,0	91.9%
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	91.4%
LAL 109, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.63,0	91.3%