inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 89 Excitement8.5 [158] MVPDetlef Schrempf (SEA): +32.6%
Seattle SuperSonics 87 Comeback4.6 [106] LVPNate McMillan (SEA): -38.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.320,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.320.030.28-0.011769%0.455-0.131182%0.06
Jaren Jackson0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.06-0.01756%0.0800.004100%0.06
Avery Johnson0.050,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.040.01965%0.112-0.06250%-0.01
Brad Lohaus0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carl Herrera-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Perdue-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00267%0.011-0.0320%-0.02
Reggie Geary-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.00617%-0.0700.0000%0.00
David Robinson-0.240,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.24-0.09-0.150.00965%0.116-0.361675%0.08

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.330.330.090.19-0.042057%0.3300.002100%0.02
Greg Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.04-0.01669%0.102-0.04475%-0.00
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.06-0.02640%0.061-0.033100%0.02
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jim McIlvaine0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01050%-0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.23,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.040.022045%-0.061-0.05450%-0.06
Vin Baker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.00937%-0.101-0.03617%-0.08
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22-0.22-0.10-0.12-0.01822%-0.181-0.032100%0.01
Nate McMillan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.38-0.38-0.03-0.350.00667%-0.284-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game62.32.730.416.024.01.835.3172.5
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +36.3%
SAS +46.6%
SAS +2.3%
SEA -40.4%
SAS +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSEANBASASSEANBA
this game17.414.915.698.998.9102.5
season15.915.3100.9109.3
opponent16.215.9102.397.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.118.518.117.117.4
SEA13.115.814.616.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaren Jackson69690.59-0.090.690.368-61416.420.7-4.2615.413.12.40
David Robinson59590.54-0.040.580.424-2616.219.6-3.4214.715.3-0.56
Avery Johnson62590.51-0.010.530.57-24-617.517.10.4314.515.8-1.34
Tim Duncan87840.51-0.010.530.4620217.321.7-4.4115.29.75.43
Reggie Geary30300.310.190.110.223-1416.118.0-1.9515.314.70.61
Will Perdue57540.140.36-0.23-0.046-41017.816.71.1114.016.4-2.46
Carl Herrera1212-0.000.50-0.510.02-13-417.917.30.6015.514.80.66
Brad Lohaus2725-0.210.71-0.930.08-1012-2220.516.14.4013.315.6-2.31

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Anthony34350.44-0.941.390.0912-142615.414.60.7319.715.93.79
Vin Baker63660.12-0.620.74-0.025-71214.416.2-1.7718.514.34.24
Jim McIlvaine1618-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-1015.714.71.0015.817.8-2.03
Jerome Kersey77-0.10-0.400.300.02-42-610.915.3-4.4316.717.5-0.74
Aaron Williams77-0.11-0.390.280.07-64-1022.014.37.6813.917.7-3.84
Hersey Hawkins6869-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.462-4614.516.3-1.8417.218.2-1.03
Detlef Schrempf7575-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.38-31-414.617.0-2.4317.218.4-1.20
Gary Payton7981-0.580.08-0.67-0.38-75-1215.510.05.4917.020.8-3.75
Sam Perkins4647-0.600.10-0.69-0.48-42-614.315.6-1.3116.718.1-1.42
Nate McMillan4545-0.730.23-0.95-0.61-42-615.414.41.0017.317.5-0.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 100, HOU 990.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,093.5%
GSW 95, POR 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.73,092.9%
POR 100, NYK 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.45,0.58,092.2%