NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	114		Excitement	10.1 [58]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +41.5%
Atlanta Hawks	119		Comeback	8.5 [160]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -10.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.42	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.42	0.14	0.26	-0.02	16	71%	0.46	3	-0.05	9	78%	0.10
Matt Bonner	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	7	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
DeJuan Blair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	1	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.18,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.12	-0.13	0.05	26	61%	0.11	4	-0.17	10	90%	0.06
George Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.34	0.34	0.05	0.30	0.01	15	59%	0.42	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.05	0.04	14	79%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	1	150%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	23	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	0.01	18	45%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	16	36%	0.01	2	-0.12	4	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	3.6	33.2	19.4	31.6	3.7	35.5	1.8	15.2	173.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +16.2%

SAS -28.7%

ATL +56.4%

SAS -2.6%

ATL +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	16.3	15.3	115.2	120.2	106.0
season	15.9	16.0		108.2	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.1		106.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	12.1	16.2	16.7	18.8	16.7	15.8
ATL	16.7	15.8	14.6	20.1	13.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	48	47	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.15	0	-5	5	15.0	16.6	-1.61	17.1	15.6	1.47
DeJuan Blair	23	22	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-7	9	14.6	16.2	-1.62	16.8	16.2	0.59
Roger Mason Jr.	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.10	-3	-2	-1	13.8	16.0	-2.23	16.8	16.3	0.51
Antonio McDyess	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-6	7	16.5	15.5	0.98	16.3	16.3	-0.08
Malik Hairston	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	3	-11	11.5	16.1	-4.59	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Richard Jefferson	85	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-5	5	15.4	18.4	-2.97	15.7	19.6	-3.87
Matt Bonner	59	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-2	-1	16.0	15.5	0.52	16.6	15.8	0.81
Manu Ginobili	83	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	-3	1	16.0	14.7	1.26	16.5	15.6	0.90
George Hill	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	2	-9	16.8	13.0	3.81	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Tim Duncan	76	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	0	-5	16.2	14.6	1.62	16.2	16.8	-0.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	85	85	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-5	15	16.6	14.9	1.70	15.9	15.3	0.61
Jamal Crawford	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	16.4	16.2	0.20	15.6	16.2	-0.56
Al Horford	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	2	1	16.6	15.3	1.33	16.3	14.4	1.83
Marvin Williams	83	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	16.2	16.7	-0.45	16.1	14.5	1.56
Josh Smith	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.49	-3	8	-11	16.0	17.4	-1.46	16.2	14.6	1.67
Mike Bibby	37	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	2	1	16.7	16.1	0.62	16.2	15.5	0.70
Zaza Pachulia	25	25	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	3	-1	15.3	16.6	-1.33	14.4	16.3	-1.83
Mario West	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	3	-1	1.0	16.5	-15.47	1.0	16.0	-14.96
Maurice Evans	29	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	3	-1	16.3	16.3	-0.05	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Joe Smith	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	5	-5	16.2	16.3	-0.09	13.1	16.2	-3.10
Jeff Teague	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	17.9	16.2	1.66	16.6	15.7	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.47,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.69,0.93,0.99,1	90.1%
SAS 118, DAL 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.69,0.92,1	89.4%
LAL 104, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.95,0.84,1	89.3%