inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 89 Excitement6.1 [581] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +13.0%
Los Angeles Lakers 101 Comeback2.1 [685] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -10.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.041181%0.192-0.064100%0.02
Matt Bonner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00936%-0.0400.00771%-0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.02-0.001148%0.002-0.061100%0.02
Tony Parker-0.060,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.05-0.041654%0.066-0.13580%-0.00
George Hill-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00829%-0.081-0.031100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.040.041747%-0.052-0.0600%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.013133%0.1200.0000%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.040.00772%0.141-0.03450%-0.03
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.000.06968%0.031-0.021100%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00350%0.031-0.032100%0.02
DJ Mbenga00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.011649%0.031-0.03580%0.01
Shannon Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.06-0.011329%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Lamar Odom0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.021348%-0.012-0.04757%-0.02
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.000.032047%-0.012-0.045100%0.03
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.40.329.920.425.01.833.0139.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +17.4%
LAL +8.3%
LAL +17.0%
LAL +9.0%
SAS -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game15.315.315.395.7106.3106.0
season15.915.7108.2107.9
opponent15.115.1103.0103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.817.716.212.715.3
LAL12.913.017.218.615.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roger Mason Jr.10100.11-0.610.730.023-151816.115.20.8616.915.11.78
Matt Bonner1415-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-121215.415.30.1113.115.7-2.66
Antonio McDyess3737-0.07-0.430.37-0.101-131417.014.22.7214.815.6-0.85
DeJuan Blair3535-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-111014.016.1-2.0916.114.81.24
Keith Bogans2728-0.17-0.330.150.06-8-4-413.716.0-2.3012.916.3-3.37
Michael Finley2626-0.18-0.320.13-0.04-5-7213.616.0-2.4418.814.04.77
Tony Parker7475-0.22-0.280.07-0.16-2-10815.514.70.8215.215.6-0.37
Richard Jefferson6264-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.25-1-111015.814.41.3715.914.01.94
Manu Ginobili5860-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.12-10-2-814.317.1-2.8115.714.61.16
Tim Duncan6566-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.05-142-1616.013.82.2114.916.2-1.30
George Hill5759-0.660.16-0.810.02-2311-3416.114.11.9514.516.6-2.15

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol91890.56-0.060.630.1514-21615.511.73.7115.511.73.74
Shannon Brown70700.490.010.470.2875215.813.91.9315.515.00.50
Derek Fisher56560.310.190.130.0593615.215.4-0.1316.014.41.59
Luke Walton22220.260.240.020.1157-216.415.01.3815.315.3-0.02
Lamar Odom73710.240.26-0.020.0475215.016.4-1.3815.315.30.02
Metta World Peace73710.240.26-0.020.0475215.016.4-1.3815.315.30.02
Sasha Vujacic29280.180.32-0.130.0748-415.515.20.3114.615.6-0.99
Jordan Farmar45430.160.34-0.18-0.0166015.415.20.2614.116.4-2.31
Josh Powell13120.100.40-0.30-0.0248-412.915.7-2.7616.415.21.24
DJ Mbenga33-0.050.55-0.600.04-315-1813.715.4-1.6915.715.30.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 81, CHI 910.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,194.9%
LAC 84, CLE 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.5%
PHI 93, CLE 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.0%