NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	84		Excitement	5.7 [652]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +11.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.9 [980]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -6.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	16	50%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Al Thornton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	21	46%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Josh Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	9	33%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	8	65%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	19	52%	0.13	3	-0.08	16	69%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	79%	0.15	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	30.2	15.6	25.0	2.5	28.4	130.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.4%

CLE +2.8%

CLE +15.0%

LAC -1.0%

CLE +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.4	95.5	111.4	105.7
season	15.6	16.4		99.5	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	16.4	18.4	16.7	16.8
CLE	16.8	15.6	15.9	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-14	14	2.0	17.0	-15.01	16.0	15.9	0.11
Brevin Knight	42	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.17	5	-19	24	14.6	18.8	-4.20	15.1	16.6	-1.47
Josh Powell	65	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-14	14	16.5	17.9	-1.45	16.5	13.9	2.57
Tim Thomas	71	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-12	10	16.5	18.4	-1.87	16.1	14.8	1.31
Al Thornton	65	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-9	4	16.8	17.0	-0.22	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Aaron Williams	17	15	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	0	-14	18.6	16.4	2.24	13.6	16.4	-2.76
Sam Cassell	45	45	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	5	-24	19.2	14.3	4.87	16.6	15.1	1.46
Quinton Ross	50	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	2	-18	17.1	16.5	0.65	16.5	15.0	1.58
Cuttino Mobley	84	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.03	-19	5	-24	17.0	14.5	2.45	15.5	21.8	-6.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	64	0.80	-0.30	1.11	-0.05	29	-15	44	15.7	16.4	-0.74	17.3	15.7	1.56
LeBron James	81	81	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-1	16	15.5	20.6	-5.09	16.7	18.4	-1.72
Ira Newble	31	32	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	2	10	16.4	15.6	0.77	17.9	16.2	1.62
Drew Gooden	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	5	4	16.0	15.7	0.32	17.3	15.9	1.40
Larry Hughes	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	5	4	16.0	15.7	0.32	17.3	15.9	1.40
Devin Brown	30	29	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	8	-2	15.7	16.0	-0.33	16.2	17.2	-1.00
Damon Jones	34	33	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	10	-6	16.6	15.4	1.14	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Daniel Gibson	62	63	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	13	-12	15.7	16.4	-0.71	16.3	18.2	-1.90
Dwayne Jones	23	24	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.14	-15	29	-44	16.4	15.7	0.74	15.7	17.3	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%
DET 76, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
CLE 88, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%