NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	4.6 [870]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +21.1%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	2.0 [862]		LVP	Vitaly Potapenko (CLE): -14.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	10	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Donny Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.08	4	125%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	13	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	11	48%	-0.04	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.09	0.02	8	91%	0.23	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.03	0.03	7	90%	0.14	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	56%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	12	75%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.7	26.3	16.6	22.7	1.8	33.6	123.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.1%

ATL +12.1%

ATL +3.9%

CLE -10.8%

ATL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	17.9	16.2	15.6	104.8	109.4	104.4
season	17.8	16.4		102.1	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.1		100.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.7	17.6	19.3	17.0	17.9
ATL	18.3	15.1	16.7	15.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawnelle Scott	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-9	13	5.7	18.3	-12.68	5.0	16.6	-11.61
Reggie Geary	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-9	13	5.7	18.3	-12.68	5.0	16.6	-11.61
Donny Marshall	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-12	19	15.3	19.3	-4.00	16.0	16.3	-0.26
Bob Sura	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	17.5	18.2	-0.69	16.0	16.3	-0.30
Danny Ferry	60	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	17.1	19.8	-2.72	16.2	16.1	0.17
Bobby Phills	64	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-10	15	18.0	17.6	0.32	16.8	14.1	2.65
Tyrone Hill	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	18.1	17.1	1.02	17.2	12.8	4.32
Vitaly Potapenko	40	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	5	-15	19.6	16.3	3.26	15.4	17.0	-1.56
Chris Mills	55	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	9	-23	19.3	15.3	4.00	16.3	16.0	0.26
Terrell Brandon	59	58	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	10	-25	18.7	16.0	2.64	16.2	16.1	0.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	76	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-7	19	16.9	10.4	6.44	18.6	11.2	7.34
Dikembe Mutombo	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	2	1	17.4	13.8	3.60	19.2	15.1	4.04
Jon Barry	26	27	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	0	5	14.5	16.9	-2.39	17.8	17.9	-0.12
Mookie Blaylock	70	68	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	1	3	16.1	16.7	-0.65	17.5	19.5	-1.99
Tyrone Corbin	71	69	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	6	-7	15.8	18.1	-2.24	16.9	22.4	-5.49
Eldridge Recasner	15	16	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	4	-3	16.7	16.1	0.65	19.5	17.5	1.99
Steven Smith	59	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	5	-5	16.9	14.5	2.39	17.9	17.8	0.12
Henry James	23	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	6	-7	15.1	16.6	-1.53	18.5	17.7	0.87
Ivano Newbill	28	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	3	-1	13.8	17.4	-3.60	15.1	19.2	-4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 84, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
UTA 82, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.1%
HOU 96, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	94.0%