NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	6.1 [604]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +19.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	1.7 [432]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -14.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Von Wafer	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	7	100%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.01	10	64%	0.16	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.06
Carl Landry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	11	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	15	40%	-0.06	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	13	36%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.12	0.01	19	64%	0.27	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	41%	-0.04	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	28.5	15.0	28.0	1.8	38.0	139.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.4%

HOU -7.7%

PHI +13.4%

PHI +4.6%

HOU -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.5	104.3	114.3	106.4
season	16.3	15.5		105.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.2		105.5	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	15.8	17.4	14.5	15.7
PHI	15.6	16.2	13.7	17.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	67	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-13	18	15.5	16.4	-0.85	17.1	12.2	4.88
Von Wafer	47	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	16.9	14.5	2.40	16.0	15.4	0.62
Yao Ming	58	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-4	0	16.9	13.8	3.13	15.5	16.1	-0.57
Charles Hayes	12	12	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	2	-12	16.4	15.6	0.78	12.2	16.3	-4.11
Rafer Alston	63	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	16.3	14.4	1.94	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Tracy McGrady	83	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-7	6	15.5	17.9	-2.38	15.5	17.4	-1.85
Brent Barry	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	15.3	16.1	-0.78	16.6	15.1	1.45
Aaron Brooks	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	1	-10	14.5	17.0	-2.48	15.2	16.3	-1.15
Carl Landry	47	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	0	-8	14.5	17.1	-2.60	15.3	16.2	-0.86

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	82	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-7	22	15.1	21.4	-6.33	15.8	14.6	1.22
Royal Ivey	29	28	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-4	16	12.7	17.2	-4.52	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Marreese Speights	46	43	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	2	4	16.4	15.0	1.41	15.0	16.4	-1.34
Samuel Dalembert	24	25	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-4	16	14.7	16.1	-1.40	17.6	15.0	2.56
Lou Williams	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	5	-2	16.5	14.8	1.65	14.9	16.8	-1.93
Thaddeus Young	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	9	-10	16.4	14.1	2.28	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Willie Green	39	40	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	5	-2	15.0	16.3	-1.24	17.3	14.5	2.76
Andre Miller	64	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	10	-12	17.0	12.8	4.21	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Reggie Evans	19	20	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	8	-8	16.7	15.5	1.20	16.0	15.7	0.40
Theo Ratliff	36	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	16	-24	15.3	16.0	-0.71	15.2	16.1	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 82, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.1%
PHX 83, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.99,1	94.1%
CLE 88, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%