NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	82		Excitement	5.3 [765]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +25.6%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	2.0 [886]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -10.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	16	48%	0.07	3	-0.04	10	100%	0.05
Melvin Ely	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
David West	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	21	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	9	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.12	-0.02	17	62%	0.30	2	-0.05	11	73%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	10	79%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	8	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	8	43%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	27%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	38%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	30.2	18.7	29.2	2.7	38.2	150.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +56.2%

NOH -4.4%

BOS +8.4%

NOH -11.4%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	BOS	NBA	NOH	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.5	89.1	104.4	106.4
season	16.6	15.8		105.9	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.2	18.1	15.5	15.4	15.5
BOS	18.1	17.0	15.1	14.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	21	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-11	10	14.0	15.9	-1.98	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Morris Peterson	9	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-10	8	16.1	15.4	0.70	16.6	16.1	0.49
Julian Wright	4	4	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-10	8	16.0	15.5	0.55	14.0	16.3	-2.28
Peja Stojakovic	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-13	14	14.6	17.0	-2.41	17.3	14.3	3.03
Devin Brown	35	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-8	4	14.7	15.9	-1.19	16.1	16.2	-0.14
Hilton Armstrong	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-9	6	17.6	13.5	4.05	16.2	16.2	-0.04
James Posey	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	15.5	15.5	0.01	15.8	16.7	-0.91
David West	80	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-8	4	15.3	16.5	-1.17	16.4	14.5	1.89
Melvin Ely	23	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-2	-8	15.2	15.6	-0.35	15.4	16.4	-1.08
Chris Paul	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	15.2	17.5	-2.32	16.1	16.8	-0.73
Rasual Butler	53	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	7	-26	16.5	14.2	2.30	15.8	16.7	-0.91

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	82	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	1	10	16.1	16.6	-0.49	15.1	18.7	-3.53
Tony Allen	33	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	3	6	13.8	17.6	-3.77	17.2	14.5	2.69
Eddie House	31	34	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	14.7	16.9	-2.24	17.0	14.6	2.37
Kevin Garnett	63	64	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	5	2	16.2	16.1	0.15	15.9	14.6	1.25
Glen Davis	31	31	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	6	0	15.4	16.6	-1.21	17.2	14.6	2.64
Ray Allen	65	68	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	6	0	17.4	12.9	4.57	14.8	17.3	-2.51
Kendrick Perkins	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	8	-4	16.7	15.2	1.59	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Rajon Rondo	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	7	-2	16.8	14.9	1.87	14.1	18.0	-3.91
Leon Powe	27	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	9	-6	16.1	16.2	-0.15	15.1	15.6	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.2%
MEM 100, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,1	94.2%
HOU 96, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	94.1%