NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	83		Excitement	5.3 [718]		MVP	Chuck Person (SAS): +13.2%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	1.6 [774]		LVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): -14.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.04	21	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
George McCloud	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	10	50%	-0.00	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	11	64%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	22	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Geary	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	52%	-0.00	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	12	36%	-0.04	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	0.2	25.1	15.5	23.6	1.8	29.4	118.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +11.7%

SAS +4.4%

SAS +22.5%

SAS +8.3%

SAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.6	92.2	100.0	102.5
season	15.0	15.9		105.3	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.9		97.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.1	15.8	17.9	12.9	15.6
SAS	13.4	18.5	14.2	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-10	10	15.8	15.6	0.15	18.6	15.2	3.38
Steve Nash	17	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-9	8	14.0	16.0	-2.03	15.9	15.8	0.16
Dennis Scott	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-9	8	12.8	16.2	-3.39	16.6	15.7	0.88
George McCloud	35	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-14	18	14.2	16.6	-2.36	15.7	15.9	-0.13
Kevin Johnson	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	16.4	15.4	1.00	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Danny Manning	39	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-8	6	15.1	16.1	-0.96	17.0	14.9	2.09
Hot Rod Williams	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	16.7	14.4	2.21	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Jason Kidd	81	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-5	0	15.2	19.2	-3.98	16.1	13.1	3.01
Clifford Robinson	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	15.8	15.4	0.41	15.2	16.7	-1.57
Rex Chapman	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	0	-10	15.8	14.9	0.89	15.1	18.1	-3.06
Antonio McDyess	54	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	5	-20	17.1	13.4	3.71	15.3	16.6	-1.28

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	85	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	0	10	15.7	17.1	-1.42	15.9	13.1	2.71
Avery Johnson	86	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	2	6	15.7	17.7	-2.04	15.8	13.2	2.65
David Robinson	71	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.11	10	0	10	15.6	16.5	-0.94	15.4	16.3	-0.89
Chuck Person	64	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	2	6	15.7	16.1	-0.35	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Vinny Del Negro	66	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	2	6	15.4	16.8	-1.34	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Monty Williams	20	20	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	3	4	14.6	16.2	-1.50	15.9	15.6	0.39
Will Perdue	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	6	-2	19.2	15.3	3.87	17.7	15.3	2.39
Jaren Jackson	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	11	-12	17.5	14.7	2.80	15.6	15.7	-0.04
Reggie Geary	8	7	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	10	-10	15.5	15.9	-0.36	13.0	15.9	-2.87
Malik Rose	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	14	-18	15.3	15.9	-0.59	14.4	15.9	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 101, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 76, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 85, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%