NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	6.1 [575]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +9.1%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.8 [188]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -24.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jim McIlvaine	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wingate	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Stewart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	12	53%	0.04	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	12	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	13	59%	-0.01	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.24	-0.07	-0.06	8	36%	-0.11	6	-0.13	12	67%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	19	59%	0.09	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Salvadori	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	8	57%	-0.01	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.05	3	-0.07	10	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	30.4	15.4	31.6	2.5	31.5	138.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +38.6%

SEA -5.1%

SAC +6.7%

SAC +8.2%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	13.2	14.1	15.6	95.3	107.6	104.4
season	14.9	15.4		108.9	102.4
opponent	15.4	16.2		106.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.5	13.1	15.5	12.9	13.2
SAC	13.7	14.0	13.9	14.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Stewart	12	10	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-16	20	15.0	13.0	2.02	13.4	14.2	-0.77
Craig Ehlo	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	13.5	13.2	0.30	7.0	14.2	-7.23
Jim McIlvaine	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-6	0	12.8	13.3	-0.49	15.2	13.8	1.38
David Wingate	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-8	4	13.5	13.1	0.37	15.5	13.6	1.92
Eric Snow	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-15	18	13.5	13.1	0.46	14.4	13.9	0.51
Terry Cummings	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-4	-4	13.5	12.9	0.60	12.5	15.4	-2.90
Hersey Hawkins	90	91	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-8	4	13.1	13.7	-0.64	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Shawn Kemp	49	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	13.7	12.8	0.90	14.9	13.4	1.51
Sam Perkins	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-5	-2	13.5	12.7	0.82	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Detlef Schrempf	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	0	-12	12.4	16.0	-3.51	14.0	14.3	-0.22
Gary Payton	91	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.02	-17	5	-22	13.0	14.5	-1.47	14.4	12.4	1.96

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	87	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-4	20	13.8	15.5	-1.70	12.5	16.8	-4.24
Bobby Hurley	51	50	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	13.1	15.0	-1.94	13.5	13.0	0.48
Brian Grant	65	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	4	4	15.4	12.0	3.43	13.0	13.5	-0.52
Olden Polynice	69	66	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	3	6	13.1	15.9	-2.77	13.0	13.6	-0.67
Michael Smith	63	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	11	-10	13.9	14.4	-0.44	13.0	13.5	-0.43
Corliss Williamson	60	61	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	8	-4	14.3	13.8	0.48	12.8	13.7	-0.88
Billy Owens	47	46	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	4	4	14.3	13.9	0.41	13.9	12.6	1.28
Tyus Edney	46	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	11	-10	14.5	13.8	0.76	13.7	12.8	0.85
Kevin Salvadori	5	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	6	0	15.4	14.0	1.37	18.5	12.9	5.61
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	16	-20	14.7	13.8	0.85	13.9	12.9	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1	95.1%
DET 84, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
IND 89, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.9%