NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	4.7 [850]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +20.4%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	1.6 [785]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.05	-0.02	16	69%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	42%	-0.09	1	0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	8	39%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	11	45%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	15	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	17	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	12	67%	0.12	3	-0.10	6	67%	0.03
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	16	69%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	31.2	18.4	25.6	3.4	34.3	140.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.0%

ATL +13.5%

NYK -0.8%

NYK -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.9	18.2	15.6	96.3	112.2	102.5
season	15.7	16.1		100.4	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.3		101.5	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.1	20.0	16.1	15.3	16.9
ATL	17.2	21.1	16.6	18.3	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bowie	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-11	9	18.0	16.8	1.23	19.0	18.1	0.94
Herb Williams	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-11	9	21.3	16.8	4.56	12.7	18.4	-5.73
John Starks	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-9	5	16.9	16.9	-0.01	18.2	18.2	-0.06
Terry Cummings	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-11	9	19.6	15.2	4.40	20.4	16.7	3.70
Chris Childs	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-9	5	18.8	15.6	3.25	20.1	16.7	3.44
Charlie Ward	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	15.6	18.8	-3.25	16.7	20.1	-3.44
Charles Oakley	59	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	15.9	19.7	-3.83	18.2	18.1	0.12
Chris Mills	48	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-5	-3	15.6	18.9	-3.32	17.8	18.8	-0.99
Larry Johnson	64	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	-1	-11	17.3	15.6	1.70	18.3	17.9	0.31
Allan Houston	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	2	-17	16.9	17.2	-0.39	17.4	21.2	-3.78

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.10	16	-3	19	17.8	24.4	-6.62	16.7	20.8	-4.11
Dikembe Mutombo	70	70	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	1	11	18.9	14.2	4.61	17.0	16.6	0.42
Steven Smith	70	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-5	23	16.8	26.1	-9.25	16.7	18.5	-1.78
Tyrone Corbin	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-4	21	17.6	23.2	-5.66	16.4	21.1	-4.69
Alan Henderson	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-2	17	16.7	23.2	-6.48	15.9	20.0	-4.11
Christian Laettner	24	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	15	-17	20.9	17.1	3.86	19.7	15.7	3.94
Chucky Brown	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	10	-7	13.8	18.8	-4.99	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Anthony Miller	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	15	-17	40.5	17.6	22.87	35.0	16.5	18.51
Eldridge Recasner	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	25	-37	25.4	15.7	9.74	18.5	16.4	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 77, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 100, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 88, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%