NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	76		Excitement	5.5 [741]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +8.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.5 [932]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -21.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.06	19	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Ronald Dupree	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	19	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Carlos Delfino	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	9	23%	-0.19	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Chauncey Billups	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.04	8	33%	-0.04	8	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	24	52%	0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	55%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	80%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.8	30.1	19.6	29.1	3.4	32.7	140.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +47.5%

DET -6.2%

DET -17.5%

CLE +20.9%

CLE +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	17.1	15.8	15.5	87.4	103.4	104.0
season	16.7	16.2		103.5	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.9		103.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	20.2	14.3	18.3	16.2	17.1
CLE	15.0	16.4	13.0	18.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	13	14	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-16	17	14.8	17.6	-2.80	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Darko Milicic	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	15.0	17.2	-2.17	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Carlos Arroyo	34	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-15	15	15.7	18.1	-2.42	17.8	14.3	3.47
Lindsey Hunter	31	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-14	13	18.8	16.2	2.52	16.3	15.4	0.90
Antonio McDyess	31	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-12	9	18.7	16.3	2.47	17.2	14.9	2.30
Carlos Delfino	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-2	-11	17.5	16.8	0.77	14.2	17.2	-3.00
Ben Wallace	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-5	-5	17.3	16.7	0.58	15.3	17.1	-1.80
Rasheed Wallace	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	0	-15	16.4	21.8	-5.43	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Chauncey Billups	67	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	1	-17	16.9	18.0	-1.10	15.4	17.0	-1.60
Tayshaun Prince	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.09	-16	1	-17	17.6	14.8	2.80	15.9	15.1	0.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	78	77	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.02	21	-6	27	15.8	15.6	0.19	17.5	14.6	2.88
Lucious Harris	42	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	9	-3	16.4	15.2	1.21	18.5	16.0	2.59
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.06	14	1	13	15.0	18.5	-3.53	18.2	14.0	4.22
Eric Snow	47	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	0	15	14.0	17.8	-3.85	18.1	16.0	2.13
Drew Gooden	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	6	3	14.1	17.2	-3.09	19.3	15.2	4.05
Anderson Varejao	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	9	-3	17.2	14.1	3.09	15.2	19.3	-4.05
Jeff McInnis	41	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	15	-15	17.8	14.0	3.85	16.0	18.1	-2.13
Robert Traylor	20	22	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	14	-13	18.5	15.0	3.53	14.0	18.2	-4.22
Ira Newble	43	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.16	9	6	3	14.4	17.0	-2.60	16.1	18.3	-2.20
Sasha Pavlovic	13	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	21	-27	18.0	15.4	2.61	14.3	17.6	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.4%
SAS 98, CHH 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.8%
IND 95, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%