NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	5.2 [808]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +17.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	1.6 [730]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -11.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	12	68%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	48%	0.01	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	13	47%	-0.02	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.02	12	64%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.04	11	59%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	82%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	32%	-0.08	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	26.3	15.7	26.0	2.5	32.3	128.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.7%

PHI -0.6%

PHI -6.0%

CLE +19.5%

PHI -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.5	98.9	108.6	105.7
season	15.5	15.1		104.6	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	17.3	17.5	13.0	15.5
CLE	12.6	14.7	15.2	19.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-7	6	14.3	15.8	-1.48	16.1	15.1	1.02
Lou Williams	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-6	4	16.7	14.7	2.03	16.0	14.8	1.18
Tony Battie	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-5	2	14.7	15.7	-0.96	17.6	14.7	2.93
Thaddeus Young	61	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-12	16	15.8	15.0	0.82	16.3	13.6	2.70
Spencer Hawes	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-2	-4	15.0	15.7	-0.74	13.7	15.9	-2.29
Jodie Meeks	25	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	17.1	14.9	2.15	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Evan Turner	76	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	15.2	16.6	-1.37	15.6	14.1	1.50
Andres Nocioni	65	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	15.2	16.2	-0.97	14.3	17.4	-3.10
Jrue Holiday	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	15.1	17.0	-1.97	15.4	14.9	0.51
Elton Brand	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	3	-14	15.8	14.8	1.01	14.4	17.7	-3.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-7	22	14.1	16.8	-2.69	16.4	14.4	1.99
Jamario Moon	42	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	-5	18	13.0	17.2	-4.15	15.9	15.2	0.77
Anderson Varejao	59	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	-1	10	14.9	16.0	-1.06	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Antawn Jamison	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	7	-6	16.4	13.6	2.85	15.3	15.8	-0.56
Ramon Sessions	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	1	6	15.1	15.6	-0.47	14.6	16.8	-2.21
Daniel Gibson	56	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	9	-10	16.5	13.4	3.10	15.4	15.7	-0.29
JJ Hickson	36	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	1	6	13.6	16.4	-2.85	15.8	15.3	0.56
Ryan Hollins	34	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	9	-10	16.0	14.9	1.06	16.2	15.1	1.10
Joey Graham	51	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	13	-18	17.2	13.0	4.15	15.2	15.9	-0.77
Manny Harris	23	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	13	-18	15.4	15.3	0.18	15.9	15.4	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, OKC 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 85, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CLE 103, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%