NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	5.7 [686]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +10.6%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	1.8 [1187]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -23.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Mullens	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Varnado	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Henry Sims	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.01	15	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	26	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Hollis Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
James Nunnally	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Johnson-Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	9	30%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	14	24%	-0.15	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.03	10	69%	0.17	5	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	11	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.14	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	43%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.5	26.3	0.1	25.2	2.8	29.0	117.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +52.7%

CHI +7.7%

PHI -7.3%

PHI -5.2%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	15.9	15.1	92.0	102.2	105.2
season	13.7	16.3		98.4	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.0		99.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	16.4	17.4	18.7	16.7
CHI	15.3	14.9	16.0	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Johnson-Odom	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	14.3	16.9	-2.62	13.9	16.1	-2.20
Jarvis Varnado	28	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-9	8	16.1	16.9	-0.84	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Byron Mullens	17	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-2	-6	18.1	16.3	1.78	16.1	15.8	0.32
Thaddeus Young	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-9	8	16.8	16.0	0.82	16.2	14.4	1.76
Elliot Williams	41	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	2	-14	16.7	16.7	0.00	14.5	16.9	-2.34
Hollis Thompson	60	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	16.0	18.2	-2.20	15.4	17.0	-1.55
Michael Carter-Williams	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-8	6	16.8	16.1	0.74	17.0	11.8	5.12
Henry Sims	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	16.6	16.8	-0.14	16.3	15.0	1.38
James Nunnally	27	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	0	-10	17.6	16.3	1.26	16.4	15.7	0.69
James Anderson	59	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	16.9	16.2	0.66	15.8	16.1	-0.35

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	84	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-5	20	15.7	18.2	-2.47	16.7	15.5	1.24
Joakim Noah	70	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.17	10	0	10	16.3	14.3	1.97	16.9	16.0	0.88
D.J. Augustin	58	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	1	8	15.3	16.9	-1.54	16.9	16.4	0.48
Taj Gibson	53	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	3	4	15.4	16.6	-1.16	17.0	16.2	0.80
Kirk Hinrich	58	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	3	4	16.2	15.3	0.93	17.2	15.7	1.45
Mike Dunleavy	63	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	7	-4	16.2	15.0	1.28	16.1	18.2	-2.04
Nazr Mohammed	10	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	5	0	16.4	15.8	0.60	16.7	16.7	0.05
Carlos Boozer	45	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	12	-14	15.6	16.1	-0.45	16.0	17.4	-1.43
Tony Snell	4	3	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	14	-18	16.0	15.9	0.14	14.0	16.8	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%
ORL 90, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	94.8%
SEA 92, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%