NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	5.5 [734]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +12.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.9 [890]		LVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): -15.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	19	61%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	8	45%	0.01	5	-0.09	4	25%	-0.01
Robert Swift	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.04	0.05	9	61%	0.02	4	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	11	39%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	7	40%	-0.04	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.03	-0.05	19	51%	0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Anthony Carter	0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	7	53%	0.05	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.04	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	20	48%	-0.04	4	-0.11	12	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	31.4	15.3	25.5	2.4	30.2	135.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.1%

MIN +14.2%

MIN +17.2%

MIN +7.6%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.6	96.8	105.2	104.4
season	15.0	16.1		108.9	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		103.1	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	16.7	17.6	13.2	15.5
MIN	11.6	15.3	17.5	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	21	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-9	8	16.5	15.2	1.35	14.4	14.6	-0.11
Ronald Murray	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-11	12	15.0	16.0	-0.99	13.1	16.2	-3.10
Reggie Evans	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-4	-2	17.3	15.3	2.05	16.6	14.3	2.23
Robert Swift	66	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-11	12	15.1	16.3	-1.15	15.3	12.8	2.54
Nick Collison	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-11	12	15.8	15.1	0.64	15.0	14.1	0.88
Chris Wilcox	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	16.3	15.2	1.15	12.3	15.4	-3.10
Johan Petro	29	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	1	-12	16.3	15.1	1.15	12.8	15.3	-2.54
Rashard Lewis	74	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	15.2	16.5	-1.35	14.6	14.4	0.11
Luke Ridnour	75	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	15.1	16.7	-1.55	14.7	13.9	0.80
Ray Allen	74	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	-2	-6	15.4	15.8	-0.37	15.6	10.6	5.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	83	82	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.17	14	-4	18	14.5	14.5	0.04	15.3	16.3	-0.97
Marcus Banks	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	1	8	12.8	16.5	-3.73	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Mark Blount	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-1	12	13.1	16.6	-3.48	15.3	15.8	-0.55
Ricky Davis	80	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	2	6	14.5	14.9	-0.42	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Kevin Garnett	76	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	15.3	11.9	3.42	15.2	16.3	-1.11
Mark Madsen	37	36	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	9	-8	16.6	13.3	3.33	16.1	15.1	0.94
Justin Reed	23	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	8	-6	12.3	15.2	-2.93	15.9	15.4	0.55
Anthony Carter	45	43	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	9	-8	16.5	12.8	3.73	16.0	15.0	0.96
Rashad McCants	31	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	12	-14	14.7	14.5	0.26	16.5	15.0	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 82, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 97, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHH 86, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%