NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	82		Excitement	5.6 [665]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +8.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	1.6 [1113]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -23.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.05	16	75%	0.15	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	19	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Billy Owens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	14	55%	0.03	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	77%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Brian Grant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Alton Lister	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	17	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	12	37%	-0.05	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	25.0	14.8	25.0	2.0	30.2	124.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +12.5%

POR +13.8%

POR +23.5%

SAC -1.3%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	15.6	88.2	101.1	102.5
season	15.2	15.9		98.5	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	13.2	15.5	16.1	14.7
POR	15.6	17.6	15.2	17.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Salvadori	6	6	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.04	2	-13	15	19.7	14.4	5.26	12.8	16.7	-3.82
Bobby Hurley	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-10	9	15.6	14.7	0.90	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	7	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-9	7	7.7	15.3	-7.60	13.6	16.7	-3.04
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	19	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-9	7	17.0	14.2	2.84	17.1	16.2	0.89
Terry Dehere	21	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	18.3	13.7	4.64	17.3	16.1	1.26
Mitch Richmond	68	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	14.0	16.7	-2.65	16.5	16.2	0.31
Michael Stewart	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	17.7	12.2	5.45	16.3	16.5	-0.27
Olden Polynice	57	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	13.4	16.9	-3.55	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Anthony Johnson	65	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	14.0	16.5	-2.57	16.4	16.3	0.10
Corliss Williamson	83	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-7	3	14.4	17.3	-2.87	16.6	15.0	1.57
Billy Owens	87	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	2	-15	14.4	19.7	-5.26	16.7	12.8	3.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	84	85	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.05	19	-8	27	16.7	13.7	2.90	14.5	17.2	-2.74
Brian Grant	73	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-2	15	16.2	17.4	-1.22	15.5	11.6	3.95
Arvydas Sabonis	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	3	5	16.3	16.7	-0.40	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Isaiah Rider	63	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	8	-5	16.6	16.0	0.59	14.8	14.7	0.08
Kenny Anderson	54	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	2	7	16.9	15.7	1.13	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Alvin Williams	47	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	7	-3	15.4	17.5	-2.08	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Gary Trent	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	11	-11	17.5	15.6	1.93	15.2	14.4	0.79
Stacey Augmon	23	22	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	9	-7	16.8	16.3	0.57	16.4	14.2	2.12
Alton Lister	13	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	14	-17	13.5	16.9	-3.33	13.8	14.9	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 80, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAL 100, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	95.3%
SEA 92, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%