NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	7.4 [319]		MVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): +16.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	14.5 [94]		LVP	Larry Hughes (NYK): -24.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	6	69%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	13	53%	0.25	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	13	38%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	-0.00	-0.12	-0.02	12	67%	0.11	5	-0.21	3	33%	-0.04
Larry Hughes	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	10	36%	-0.14	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,0.13	0.13	-0.04	0.19	0.02	13	56%	0.27	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.08	0.14	-0.00	11	29%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	14	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	22	50%	0.24	5	-0.22	4	100%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.6	29.5	15.8	28.1	2.4	31.6	135.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +25.3%

CHA +18.8%

CHA +18.0%

NYK -10.3%

NYK -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.1	15.3	89.7	97.9	106.0
season	14.7	16.2		105.9	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.7	13.2	15.5	18.3	14.7
CHA	13.0	16.2	15.1	16.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	72	72	0.67	-1.17	1.83	0.23	15	-22	37	14.9	14.0	0.89	15.3	14.7	0.53
Danilo Gallinari	46	44	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-9	11	13.1	16.2	-3.07	14.3	15.9	-1.57
Eddy Curry	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	11.7	15.2	-3.51	11.1	15.9	-4.76
Chris Duhon	84	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-6	5	15.0	12.7	2.32	15.5	12.9	2.55
David Lee	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-6	5	15.0	13.4	1.59	15.6	13.4	2.22
Al Harrington	68	68	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.30	-15	8	-23	15.7	12.3	3.36	15.7	13.8	1.87
Wilson Chandler	76	75	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.33	-14	7	-21	15.3	12.4	2.90	15.5	13.9	1.59
Larry Hughes	46	45	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.48	-15	8	-23	13.3	16.0	-2.66	14.4	15.8	-1.49

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	53	54	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.37	17	-10	27	15.5	14.7	0.73	14.7	14.7	0.09
Boris Diaw	35	36	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-7	21	16.0	14.7	1.30	16.4	13.7	2.73
Gerald Wallace	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-3	13	15.3	14.5	0.77	15.0	13.6	1.39
Raymond Felton	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	0	7	15.1	15.2	-0.12	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Stephen Jackson	90	91	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	5	-3	14.6	23.5	-8.91	14.5	17.5	-2.98
Nazr Mohammed	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.13	8	-1	9	12.7	16.3	-3.56	13.8	15.1	-1.26
D.J. Augustin	21	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	7	-7	15.2	15.1	0.12	15.0	14.6	0.39
Stephen Graham	20	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	9	-11	14.4	15.3	-0.88	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Gerald Henderson	12	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	9	-11	13.9	15.3	-1.40	15.2	14.6	0.54
Derrick Brown	16	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	15	-23	15.6	15.1	0.50	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Tyson Chandler	51	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	18	-29	16.9	13.2	3.66	14.1	15.4	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.06,0.23,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.34,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.72,1	91.4%
IND 97, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.72,1	91.1%
BOS 78, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.15,0.33,0.95,1	90.0%