NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	9.4 [57]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIA): +46.8%
Miami Heat	91		Comeback	7.3 [140]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -34.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.1,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	70%	0.28	5	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Mahorn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	8	50%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	9	45%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.32	-0.12	-0.20	0.00	20	52%	-0.07	6	-0.25	14	86%	0.05

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.11	0.36	0.00	9	87%	0.53	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.10	0.27	-0.01	8	25%	0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.11	-0.03	8	65%	-0.04	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	54%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.03	-0.24	0.01	7	68%	-0.05	4	-0.23	5	100%	0.04
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.19,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.34	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	0.00	14	39%	-0.18	6	-0.16	3	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	29.2	16.7	24.4	2.5	47.2	151.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +60.2%

MIA +6.0%

PHI -28.1%

MIA +28.3%

PHI -16.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.8	97.8	100.0	99.6
season	15.6	16.6		97.0	101.3
opponent	16.7	15.9		96.8	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	15.3	16.6	15.5	15.9
MIA	14.4	18.1	15.4	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	80	81	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.18	12	-14	26	15.4	19.8	-4.46	15.8	15.1	0.73
Nazr Mohammed	6	6	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-7	12	9.0	16.4	-7.39	17.2	15.6	1.52
Matt Geiger	54	52	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.15	-2	0	-2	16.6	14.9	1.75	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Harvey Grant	28	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	0	-2	17.2	15.3	1.95	15.5	15.9	-0.34
Tim Thomas	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	2	-6	16.7	15.8	0.82	18.3	15.6	2.77
Rick Mahorn	12	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	10	-22	17.1	15.7	1.36	14.9	15.9	-0.95
George Lynch	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-5	8	15.3	18.0	-2.65	16.1	14.5	1.53
Theo Ratliff	50	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-1	0	16.0	15.7	0.31	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Eric Snow	69	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-1	0	16.0	15.5	0.59	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Larry Hughes	59	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-4	6	15.3	17.0	-1.69	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Aaron McKie	19	19	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	8	-18	18.4	15.2	3.18	15.1	15.9	-0.81

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	61	59	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.55	9	-7	16	15.9	15.4	0.57	15.6	16.4	-0.83
Alonzo Mourning	45	47	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.48	9	-7	16	15.3	16.2	-0.86	16.1	15.6	0.51
Dan Majerle	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	15.5	17.1	-1.58	16.1	14.7	1.40
P.J. Brown	60	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-3	8	14.8	17.6	-2.78	16.4	14.7	1.77
Tim Hardaway	60	63	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.47	-6	8	-14	15.3	16.6	-1.26	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Blue Edwards	15	14	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	-1	4	17.6	15.4	2.22	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Mark Strickland	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	-4	10	16.0	15.6	0.40	17.3	15.4	1.95
Duane Causwell	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	5	-8	15.7	15.8	-0.06	13.9	16.2	-2.29
Clar. Weatherspoon	61	58	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.10	-6	8	-14	16.8	13.7	3.05	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Rex Walters	41	40	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.01	-13	15	-28	16.1	15.4	0.68	15.7	16.1	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.34,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 78, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.15,0.33,0.95,1	91.9%
NYK 87, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.06,0.23,0.72,1	91.4%
IND 97, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.72,1	90.3%