NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	78		Excitement	7.3 [326]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +21.8%
Washington Wizards	85		Comeback	5.7 [113]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -20.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19	0.03	0.16	-0.00	6	67%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	3	75%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Eddie House	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	0.00	13	52%	0.08	6	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	57%	0.01	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	13	31%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2	-0.01	-0.18	0.00	14	53%	0.03	3	-0.23	8	62%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.12	0.03	11	63%	0.22	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.11	0.00	2	90%	0.27	5	-0.18	6	67%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	41%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	15	31%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	17	40%	-0.01	6	-0.18	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	31.1	15.7	28.3	2.6	41.2	143.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -25.1%

WAS +35.3%

WAS +33.9%

WAS +8.4%

BOS -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	17.7	15.4	91.8	98.8	105.7
season	15.6	16.1		108.0	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.9		107.4	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	18.8	15.2	16.7	16.0
WAS	16.9	19.1	18.4	16.8	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	47	46	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-14	21	15.5	16.6	-1.08	18.5	16.9	1.58
Tony Allen	42	44	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-9	11	16.2	15.7	0.42	18.2	17.2	0.94
Glen Davis	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	17.1	15.7	1.38	18.8	17.4	1.37
Brian Scalabrine	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	17.3	15.7	1.61	18.6	17.6	1.05
Ray Allen	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-8	9	15.4	19.4	-4.03	17.7	17.9	-0.23
Paul Pierce	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	15.4	18.3	-2.89	17.7	17.7	0.04
Kevin Garnett	63	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-5	3	15.6	17.1	-1.54	18.0	17.0	0.97
James Posey	45	46	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.26	-20	13	-33	17.2	14.5	2.65	16.4	19.3	-2.91
Eddie House	56	56	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.37	-18	11	-29	16.4	15.1	1.29	17.1	18.9	-1.86

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	50	50	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.51	0	7	-7	18.6	16.5	2.15	14.9	17.5	-2.56
Antawn Jamison	76	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	2	3	17.8	16.8	1.04	15.5	19.3	-3.81
DeShawn Stevenson	62	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	5	-3	17.2	19.2	-2.01	15.2	17.8	-2.62
Caron Butler	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	2	3	17.0	21.7	-4.68	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Antonio Daniels	72	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	8	-9	17.2	20.6	-3.40	14.8	21.3	-6.45
Roger Mason Jr.	18	20	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-1	9	20.3	17.0	3.30	20.6	14.5	6.14
Darius Songaila	26	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	0	7	17.4	17.8	-0.43	16.3	15.8	0.46
Nick Young	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	2	3	19.1	17.3	1.80	17.5	15.5	2.09
Andray Blatche	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.14	4	3	1	17.9	17.6	0.26	18.5	14.4	4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.15,0.33,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.34,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.72,1	91.9%
POR 80, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.91,1	90.5%
NYK 87, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.06,0.23,0.72,1	90.0%