NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	8.3 [191]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +24.4%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	10.9 [80]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -35.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.07	0.01	16	67%	0.24	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Earl Watson	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.13	0.01	9	78%	0.23	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	8	42%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
A.J. Price	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.18	0.01	-0.19	-0.00	8	53%	-0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	0.00	10	14%	-0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Granger	-0.35	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.35	-0.09	-0.25	0.01	16	42%	-0.17	5	-0.18	8	100%	0.06

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.07	0.22	-0.01	5	57%	0.27	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	19	60%	0.17	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	46%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.10	-0.01	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.20	6	67%	-0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	14	39%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.13	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	30.5	15.6	25.0	2.6	34.3	138.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +83.3%

IND -13.1%

WAS +20.1%

IND -39.7%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	15.3	99.0	99.0	106.0
season	14.2	15.7		102.2	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	12.6	16.5	16.0	14.7
WAS	14.9	15.1	13.5	14.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	58	57	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.14	6	-7	13	15.1	14.0	1.14	14.8	14.3	0.53
Dahntay Jones	38	38	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-9	17	12.8	15.8	-2.99	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Josh McRoberts	29	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-1	1	14.2	14.9	-0.61	13.6	15.0	-1.34
A.J. Price	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-1	1	13.2	15.2	-2.00	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Solomon Jones	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	3	-7	12.6	15.1	-2.52	13.7	14.7	-1.05
Brandon Rush	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.50	2	-3	5	15.0	14.0	1.05	15.2	13.2	2.00
Earl Watson	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-1	1	15.1	12.8	2.25	14.3	15.8	-1.58
Troy Murphy	69	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	0	-1	15.2	13.3	1.94	15.0	13.4	1.69
Danny Granger	65	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	7	-15	15.5	13.0	2.48	15.1	13.5	1.53
Mike Dunleavy	45	46	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.60	-8	7	-15	14.1	15.1	-1.00	13.7	15.3	-1.58

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	31	30	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.60	5	-4	9	13.8	14.9	-1.06	14.7	14.7	0.04
James Singleton	53	52	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.55	5	-4	9	15.0	14.1	0.89	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Cartier Martin	67	66	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.58	-1	2	-3	14.6	14.4	0.24	14.0	16.1	-2.06
Cedric Jackson	40	41	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.69	-7	8	-15	14.8	14.4	0.39	13.8	15.3	-1.49
JaVale McGee	58	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	0	1	14.4	14.7	-0.28	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Nick Young	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	4	-7	13.7	15.1	-1.42	15.4	14.3	1.13
Shaun Livingston	59	57	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.22	8	-7	15	14.4	14.8	-0.39	15.3	13.8	1.49
Al Thornton	36	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	2	-3	15.1	14.3	0.81	14.1	15.0	-0.84
Mike Miller	28	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	-1	3	15.2	14.3	0.85	16.0	14.1	1.84
Andray Blatche	61	59	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.16	2	-1	3	14.2	15.1	-0.83	14.5	14.9	-0.46
Fabricio Oberto	25	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	7	-13	15.3	14.3	1.01	16.8	14.0	2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.42,1	91.6%
NYK 87, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.06,0.23,0.72,1	91.1%
HOU 103, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.17,0.27,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.34,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	90.7%