NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	4.8 [883]		MVP	Mike Miller (MIN): +14.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	1.4 [471]		LVP	Chris Douglas-Roberts (NJN): -5.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.17	-0.03	0.09	23	67%	0.11	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	48%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	13	59%	0.05	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	14	69%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.02	13	68%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	4	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	18	51%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	14	57%	-0.05
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	33.4	15.5	21.2	1.6	33.4	131.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +45.9%

NJN -3.4%

MIN +3.1%

MIN +4.9%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.5	106.5	116.1	106.4
season	16.0	15.8		106.5	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.5	15.1	15.6	13.1	15.2
MIN	15.2	14.9	17.1	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-7	5	15.4	15.2	0.18	17.3	15.3	1.93
Chris Douglas-Roberts	19	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-7	5	18.3	14.5	3.79	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Ryan Anderson	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	15.4	15.1	0.27	16.3	15.2	1.10
Trenton Hassell	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	15.2	15.4	-0.19	15.5	16.4	-0.93
Yi Jianlian	35	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-1	-7	17.3	14.0	3.31	15.9	15.6	0.21
Devin Harris	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-7	5	14.4	20.3	-5.93	16.0	14.3	1.69
Keyon Dooling	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	15.2	15.4	-0.21	15.0	16.6	-1.55
Vince Carter	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	14.5	18.3	-3.79	15.9	15.1	0.82
Brook Lopez	75	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	15.2	15.4	-0.18	15.5	16.7	-1.28

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	63	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	1	7	15.3	16.6	-1.25	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Sebastian Telfair	52	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-4	17	15.1	16.5	-1.42	15.6	14.8	0.80
Brian Cardinal	31	31	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-6	21	14.5	16.3	-1.85	17.4	14.2	3.16
Ryan Gomes	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.07	10	-1	11	15.8	15.6	0.22	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Mike Miller	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	15.5	16.6	-1.04	14.9	16.6	-1.67
Kevin Love	80	80	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	7	-5	15.8	15.2	0.57	14.5	19.9	-5.44
Mark Madsen	6	5	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	6	-3	11.7	16.0	-4.33	23.6	14.8	8.83
Jason Collins	43	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	11	-13	16.7	14.8	1.90	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Kevin Ollie	47	48	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	17	-25	17.4	14.0	3.49	14.8	15.7	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 97, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,1	95.0%
PHI 96, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 97, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.95,1,1,1	94.4%