NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	4.6 [923]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): +11.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	1.3 [1066]		LVP	Eddie Griffin (MIN): -10.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	77%	0.10	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.02	17	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	0.00	0.05	12	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	-0.07	18	59%	0.14	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	18	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.02	11	52%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.5	28.3	14.8	25.0	1.8	33.0	126.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.1%

CLE +7.6%

MIN -9.2%

CLE +12.5%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.5	109.0	118.9	104.0
season	15.8	16.2		106.2	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.9		103.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.6	17.7	15.6	13.8	15.6
CLE	14.4	16.6	20.4	15.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	19	18	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-15	20	16.1	15.5	0.57	20.7	15.5	5.19
Anthony Carter	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	9.0	15.8	-6.76	12.0	16.7	-4.67
Mark Madsen	10	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-13	16	12.8	16.0	-3.16	15.4	16.7	-1.33
Wally Szczerbiak	58	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-15	20	15.2	16.3	-1.05	17.5	14.6	2.97
Michael Olowokandi	29	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-1	-8	16.7	15.1	1.56	16.4	16.6	-0.20
Fred Hoiberg	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-3	-4	16.6	15.0	1.54	17.9	15.8	2.07
Sam Cassell	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-5	0	15.5	15.9	-0.43	16.4	16.9	-0.54
Eddie Griffin	43	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	0	-10	15.9	15.3	0.54	16.8	16.3	0.54
Kevin Garnett	74	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	1	-12	15.6	15.7	-0.15	16.1	19.1	-2.97
Troy Hudson	41	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	3	-16	15.4	15.8	-0.40	15.3	17.6	-2.31
Trenton Hassell	75	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	2	-14	15.6	15.7	-0.13	15.7	20.9	-5.16

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	79	77	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	-2	14	16.4	17.5	-1.01	15.5	16.0	-0.45
LeBron James	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-3	16	16.3	19.0	-2.70	15.6	15.2	0.43
Drew Gooden	62	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	1	8	15.9	18.1	-2.29	15.0	17.0	-1.99
Lucious Harris	42	40	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	4	2	16.4	16.7	-0.39	15.6	15.6	0.08
Jeff McInnis	74	75	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	8	-6	16.3	17.7	-1.44	15.2	17.9	-2.67
Eric Snow	32	30	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	6	-2	16.5	16.6	-0.05	16.5	15.2	1.30
Ira Newble	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	7	-4	16.9	16.2	0.73	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Anderson Varejao	27	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	9	-8	18.5	15.7	2.79	17.0	15.0	1.99
Scott Williams	8	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	10	-10	21.0	16.1	4.87	18.4	15.3	3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.94,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 99, SEA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1	94.8%
MIL 112, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	94.7%