inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 99 Excitement5.5 [681] MVPDavid Wingate (SEA): +14.5%
Seattle SuperSonics 113 Comeback1.2 [1234] LVPMitch Richmond (SAC): -14.2%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf0.120,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.120.040.05-0.031662%0.193-0.072100%0.05
Corliss Williamson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.01786%0.113-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Gamble0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.00590%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Tyus Edney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.001100%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Lionel Simmons-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.021100%0.034-0.072100%0.01
Olden Polynice-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02753%0.014-0.083100%0.02
Billy Owens-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.01745%-0.042-0.05683%0.01
Brian Grant-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00350%-0.013-0.082100%0.01
Mitch Richmond-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.04-0.070.042152%-0.014-0.136100%0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wingate0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.030.015100%0.1500.004100%0.01
Terry Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00671%0.071-0.04580%0.00
Nate McMillan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.00865%0.052-0.0410%-0.01
Craig Ehlo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jim McIlvaine0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.011348%0.032-0.051100%0.01
Larry Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00644%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.010.051069%0.022-0.041292%0.02
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00250%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Shawn Kemp0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.031347%0.013-0.07875%-0.01
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.021338%-0.041-0.04862%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game44.11.628.216.631.01.636.2159.5
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +2.1%
SEA +3.8%
SEA +8.4%
SEA +33.0%
SEA +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSEANBASACSEANBA
this game15.714.015.6102.1116.5104.4
season15.414.9102.4108.9
opponent16.215.4100.8106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC17.216.214.914.815.7
SEA13.514.413.914.014.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyus Edney89-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-10617.715.52.2114.413.90.52
Brian Grant3636-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-11816.315.40.9314.313.80.58
Billy Owens5048-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-9415.915.60.2914.813.21.59
Kevin Gamble3436-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-8217.214.92.2414.014.00.01
Olden Polynice6161-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.15-4-10616.714.12.5214.712.72.07
Lionel Simmons2424-0.27-0.23-0.040.20-162-1814.416.2-1.7911.214.9-3.72
Corliss Williamson5252-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.14-5-9415.316.2-0.9813.614.4-0.89
Mitch Richmond7676-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.11-6-8215.217.7-2.4814.512.02.57
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf7978-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-10-4-615.218.0-2.8013.515.8-2.33
Michael Smith6565-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.05-11-3-815.516.1-0.6013.614.6-0.98

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nate McMillan63640.55-0.050.60-0.0119-52413.115.5-2.4016.214.71.55
Shawn Kemp73740.480.020.460.071401414.213.40.7316.613.03.57
Sam Perkins56560.390.110.28-0.021401413.115.2-2.1214.916.8-1.83
Hersey Hawkins78780.350.150.210.03113814.213.21.0115.516.7-1.20
Gary Payton43440.330.170.16-0.051311213.914.1-0.2016.415.21.26
David Wingate44420.300.200.10-0.02113813.814.1-0.3615.415.9-0.52
Terry Cummings33310.160.34-0.170.11212-1015.213.31.8816.515.41.07
Larry Stewart41420.070.43-0.360.04113-1213.914.0-0.1215.016.3-1.36
Craig Ehlo89-0.020.52-0.540.10-418-2213.214.0-0.7813.715.9-2.27
Jim McIlvaine2829-0.030.53-0.570.08-418-2215.413.42.0515.415.9-0.44
Eric Snow1816-0.080.58-0.670.12-721-2814.813.80.9914.715.9-1.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 92, NOH 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,195.4%
MIN 97, CLE 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.95,1,1,194.8%
LAC 84, CLE 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.92,1,1,194.7%