NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	97		Excitement	6.4 [499]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): +9.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	1.7 [761]		LVP	Tony Smith (CHH): -14.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	12	69%	0.09	5	-0.11	8	87%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	23	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Anthony Goldwire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
George Zidek	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	16	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Tony Delk	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.02	-0.14	-0.01	9	53%	-0.07	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.14

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	11	61%	0.16	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	82%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	21	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	19	51%	-0.02	3	-0.06	7	43%	-0.07
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	13	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.3	15.8	22.4	2.7	39.4	135.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.9%

CHH -14.7%

LAL +9.8%

LAL +16.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	LAL	NBA	CHH	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	15.6	98.0	102.0	104.4
season	15.7	15.3		108.0	105.8
opponent	15.7	16.0		101.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.6	15.5	15.9	14.1	15.0
LAL	12.6	13.3	16.1	14.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Goldwire	40	41	-0.08	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-9	14	15.4	14.8	0.64	14.3	13.9	0.38
George Zidek	22	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	4	-12	15.3	14.9	0.32	12.5	14.5	-2.02
Tony Smith	80	80	-0.30	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-8	12	14.7	16.4	-1.67	14.3	12.9	1.46
Tony Delk	28	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	14	-32	15.3	14.9	0.42	13.1	14.5	-1.34
Dell Curry	55	54	-0.33	-0.16	-0.17	-0.33	0	-4	4	14.7	15.4	-0.74	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Vlade Divac	83	83	-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	-0.44	2	-6	8	15.1	14.8	0.25	14.5	11.9	2.62
Anthony Mason	91	92	-0.39	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	15.1	14.0	1.11	14.3	10.4	3.92
Glen Rice	96	96	-0.44	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-2	0	15.1	14.0	1.05	13.8	21.3	-7.49

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	89	88	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-5	14	13.3	20.6	-7.26	15.4	12.0	3.40
Elden Campbell	56	56	0.44	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-6	16	14.1	14.0	0.17	16.1	13.6	2.58
Shaquille O'Neal	85	86	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	7	-10	14.4	11.8	2.66	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Jerome Kersey	63	63	0.33	0.16	0.17	0.30	1	3	-2	16.0	10.7	5.26	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Nick Van Exel	72	72	0.31	0.18	0.13	0.28	1	3	-2	14.7	12.3	2.44	14.8	15.6	-0.74
Derek Fisher	28	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	1	2	11.9	14.9	-3.04	15.2	15.0	0.22
Sean Rooks	15	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	0	4	15.5	13.8	1.65	15.6	14.9	0.73
Kobe Bryant	46	47	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	6	-8	12.9	15.1	-2.24	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Travis Knight	41	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.06	-3	7	-10	13.0	14.8	-1.83	13.7	15.9	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1	95.0%
MIN 97, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.95,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 99, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.98,1,0.99,1	94.1%