NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	4.0 [1035]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (ATL): +24.0%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.8 [1078]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -11.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	11	81%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	11	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	16	53%	0.08	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Arnett Moultrie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	0.01	12	38%	-0.03	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.04	-0.03	10	95%	0.25	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.03	0.04	15	79%	0.18	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	17	58%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	35%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	13	41%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	17%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	26.3	15.6	24.3	1.0	29.0	120.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +55.4%

PHI -7.8%

PHI -2.4%

ATL +3.6%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.4	103.2	115.1	104.1
season	15.5	15.1		100.5	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.8	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	16.9	15.1	16.1	15.8
ATL	13.7	14.4	14.2	19.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	73	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.35	7	-18	25	15.8	15.4	0.40	15.7	13.4	2.30
Thaddeus Young	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-9	7	15.9	15.6	0.32	14.2	16.5	-2.25
Spencer Hawes	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-5	-1	16.5	15.2	1.30	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Evan Turner	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.15	-13	2	-15	15.8	15.7	0.03	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Jeremy Pargo	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	0	-11	15.3	15.9	-0.63	12.2	15.9	-3.77
Royal Ivey	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	3	-17	15.3	16.0	-0.69	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Charles Jenkins	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-13	15	16.5	14.7	1.78	16.3	13.7	2.60
Arnett Moultrie	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-6	1	15.2	16.5	-1.30	15.8	14.4	1.41
Damien Wilkins	42	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	15.5	16.0	-0.57	16.5	14.2	2.25
Dorell Wright	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-6	1	15.5	16.4	-0.94	15.2	15.1	0.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	51	51	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-6	23	15.2	15.2	0.03	16.2	15.2	0.96
Kyle Korver	64	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-8	27	15.0	15.6	-0.55	15.9	15.4	0.56
Jeff Teague	75	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-6	23	14.8	16.8	-1.95	15.7	16.1	-0.43
Al Horford	79	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	1	9	15.3	14.8	0.49	16.5	11.7	4.81
Josh Smith	60	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	2	7	14.8	16.0	-1.19	15.5	16.3	-0.84
John Jenkins	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	6	-1	15.9	14.9	1.02	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Dahntay Jones	7	8	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	8	-5	11.0	15.5	-4.55	13.7	16.0	-2.20
Mike Scott	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	13.0	15.3	-2.25	6.5	16.0	-9.47
Shelvin Mack	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	13.0	15.3	-2.25	6.5	16.0	-9.47
Devin Harris	52	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.40	-14	25	-39	16.2	13.9	2.28	16.1	15.3	0.78
DeShawn Stevenson	46	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	20	-29	15.7	14.7	1.06	15.7	15.8	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, SEA 119	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIA 88, NOH 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
GSW 77, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%