NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	88		Excitement	3.2 [1145]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (NOH): +26.1%
New Orleans Hornets	114		Comeback	1.3 [1224]		LVP	Ricky Davis (MIA): -10.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	0.00	0.04	16	79%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Alexander Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	14	34%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.32	0.02	0.08	9	139%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	114%	0.12	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	112%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.03	0.04	13	63%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Vinicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	20%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	27.2	17.8	25.4	2.0	27.4	128.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +43.2%

NOH +2.1%

MIA -0.4%

NOH +5.1%

NOH +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NOH	NBA	MIA	NOH	NBA
this game	17.3	15.2	15.4	98.9	129.5	105.7
season	16.0	15.9		99.0	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.2	20.4	15.5	17.3	17.3
NOH	15.1	14.6	15.1	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-30	34	14.8	17.6	-2.79	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Joel Anthony	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-29	32	16.9	17.3	-0.42	15.3	15.2	0.04
Luke Jackson	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-26	26	16.1	17.5	-1.49	15.8	15.1	0.64
Chris Quinn	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-17	8	18.5	16.6	1.94	14.8	15.5	-0.63
Daequan Cook	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.31	-18	-8	-10	17.8	16.9	0.95	14.8	15.6	-0.85
Udonis Haslem	46	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-21	16	18.3	16.1	2.21	15.9	14.6	1.31
Alexander Johnson	25	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.19	-15	-11	-4	19.8	16.3	3.50	14.7	15.5	-0.74
Jason Williams	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	-9	-8	16.6	18.5	-1.94	15.5	14.8	0.63
Ricky Davis	69	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	-3	-20	16.7	19.1	-2.41	15.2	15.5	-0.36
Mark Blount	72	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.33	-26	0	-26	16.6	20.4	-3.80	15.3	15.1	0.17
Dwyane Wade	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.25	-24	-2	-22	17.4	17.0	0.37	15.2	15.3	-0.11

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	46	47	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.54	42	-16	58	14.3	16.3	-1.98	18.2	16.3	1.93
Melvin Ely	38	39	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.46	29	-3	32	14.6	15.7	-1.09	18.3	16.5	1.74
David West	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.23	20	6	14	15.2	15.4	-0.21	16.7	18.8	-2.07
Chris Paul	62	63	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.30	21	5	16	15.4	14.8	0.63	16.3	19.8	-3.52
Peja Stojakovic	54	55	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	14	-2	15.1	15.5	-0.41	16.0	19.4	-3.35
Tyson Chandler	53	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	15	-4	15.8	14.4	1.46	18.2	15.9	2.25
Jannero Pargo	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	23	-20	14.9	15.5	-0.65	19.1	16.2	2.92
Ryan Bowen	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.22	14	12	2	15.5	15.1	0.41	19.4	16.0	3.35
Rasual Butler	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	15.1	15.3	-0.18	14.8	17.6	-2.79
Hilton Armstrong	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	15.1	15.3	-0.18	14.8	17.6	-2.79
Marcus Vinicius	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	15.1	15.3	-0.18	14.8	17.6	-2.79
Morris Peterson	23	24	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	36	-46	17.3	14.5	2.78	16.7	17.5	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHI 96, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHA 81, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%