NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	110		Excitement	3.9 [1053]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +13.7%
Phoenix Suns	123		Comeback	1.1 [1131]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIL): -9.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.22	0.03	0.11	22	66%	0.14	0	0.00	12	83%	0.03
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	12	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.09	8	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	14	70%	0.14	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	94%	0.11	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	21	60%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	63%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	10	35%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	29.1	14.8	26.0	1.8	28.3	128.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +61.7%

MIL -0.5%

MIL -4.0%

MIL -8.4%

PHX +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	13.0	15.6	106.8	118.3	104.4
season	15.5	13.8		104.6	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.8	16.0	14.2	11.3	14.8
PHX	11.7	11.7	11.9	16.8	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	8.2	15.1	-6.81	16.2	12.9	3.34
Jiri Welsch	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.18	2	-15	17	15.6	14.6	0.96	14.1	12.8	1.31
Charlie Bell	55	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-13	13	14.3	15.4	-1.05	13.7	12.3	1.38
Joe Smith	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.18	-12	-1	-11	15.0	14.6	0.39	11.3	14.2	-2.92
Jamaal Magloire	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-15	17	14.6	15.0	-0.44	14.0	12.0	2.04
Mo Williams	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-9	5	15.0	14.6	0.40	11.8	14.2	-2.46
Michael Redd	89	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-1	-11	14.6	15.9	-1.31	12.5	16.2	-3.67
Andrew Bogut	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-7	1	15.1	14.4	0.66	13.4	12.6	0.84
Bobby Simmons	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.22	-21	8	-29	15.1	14.1	0.92	12.5	14.3	-1.76
T.J. Ford	75	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	4	-21	14.9	14.5	0.46	14.0	10.4	3.62

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	93	92	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-5	23	12.6	16.5	-3.92	14.7	15.2	-0.43
Raja Bell	88	87	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	3	7	12.9	14.1	-1.21	15.4	11.4	4.05
Steve Nash	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.27	22	-9	31	11.9	16.2	-4.25	15.2	13.6	1.68
Leandro Barbosa	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	2	9	13.4	12.6	0.78	15.3	14.0	1.36
Boris Diaw	60	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	10	-7	14.0	11.8	2.19	14.7	15.0	-0.34
James Jones	52	51	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	10	-7	13.2	12.9	0.27	14.4	15.2	-0.72
Pat Burke	41	39	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	3	7	12.9	13.1	-0.26	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Eddie House	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	22	-31	14.2	12.2	2.04	13.5	15.7	-2.15
Andre Barrett	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	16.2	12.9	3.34	8.2	15.1	-6.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DAL 87, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIN 99, SAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%