NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	77		Excitement	3.8 [1011]		MVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): +6.9%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.2 [1232]		LVP	Jim Jackson (GSW): -12.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Madkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	11	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Jason Caffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	12	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	0.08	16	58%	-0.04	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	6	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	75%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	18	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	15	59%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	9	30%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	25.2	14.6	23.3	1.8	25.0	115.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.9%

PHX +0.6%

GSW -0.3%

PHX +15.4%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	15.6	15.6	83.7	109.8	102.5
season	15.6	15.0		92.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.0		100.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.0	15.9	16.1	15.0	15.8
PHX	14.7	16.1	15.9	15.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Madkins	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	13.5	16.0	-2.52	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Adonal Foyle	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-19	14	12.6	16.2	-3.54	17.7	15.3	2.47
Todd Fuller	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.22	-11	-13	2	16.5	15.6	0.90	14.8	15.7	-0.83
Muggsy Bogues	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-18	12	15.4	16.0	-0.60	15.6	15.5	0.13
Tony Delk	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.22	-14	-10	-4	15.4	16.2	-0.81	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Donyell Marshall	71	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-15	6	15.8	15.6	0.17	16.3	13.2	3.12
Jason Caffey	37	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	-5	-14	15.6	15.8	-0.17	14.6	16.2	-1.56
Clar. Weatherspoon	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-10	-4	16.6	14.2	2.45	15.1	16.4	-1.36
Jim Jackson	71	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	-10	-4	15.9	15.3	0.54	15.8	14.7	1.03
Erick Dampier	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	-6	-12	15.9	15.1	0.77	15.4	16.1	-0.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	10	4	15.3	16.0	-0.72	16.5	14.5	1.98
Danny Manning	51	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.28	22	2	20	15.0	16.2	-1.20	15.3	16.3	-0.95
Jason Kidd	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	11	2	15.5	15.7	-0.20	16.1	15.0	1.13
Kevin Johnson	44	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	5	14	14.5	16.5	-1.98	15.9	15.6	0.24
George McCloud	50	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	11	2	15.0	16.2	-1.26	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Hot Rod Williams	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	13	-2	16.2	15.0	1.26	16.8	14.9	1.91
Antonio McDyess	53	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	15	-6	16.2	14.7	1.45	16.4	14.9	1.46
Steve Nash	38	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.20	13	11	2	15.7	15.4	0.27	15.1	16.2	-1.07
Rex Chapman	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.17	-2	26	-28	17.0	14.0	2.96	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Dennis Scott	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	19	-14	14.6	15.6	-1.02	11.9	16.1	-4.21
Marko Milic	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	14.9	15.6	-0.73	13.3	16.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 75, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 111, TOR 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1	95.4%
IND 73, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%