NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	102		Excitement	8.3 [197]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +20.8%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	6.9 [354]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -24.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	86%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	8	44%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03	0.06	-0.09	0.00	4	112%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	0.07	-0.14	0.03	15	61%	0.02	3	-0.12	11	73%	-0.00
Vince Carter	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	-0.01	22	40%	-0.14	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.00	18	54%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	64%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	82%	0.09	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.08,0,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	14	41%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.05	0.03	15	59%	0.15	5	-0.19	14	86%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	1.7	28.4	16.3	23.8	1.7	35.4	138.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +10.1%

ORL +14.8%

ORL +33.0%

NJN -13.4%

ORL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.1	15.5	107.4	110.5	106.4
season	16.0	15.3		106.5	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.6	15.8	15.7	14.0	15.3
ORL	15.7	14.2	16.3	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	29	29	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.07	7	-10	17	15.4	15.2	0.22	17.9	13.8	4.04
Trenton Hassell	36	37	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-10	17	16.4	14.6	1.81	16.2	14.3	1.86
Bobby Simmons	48	46	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-11	19	14.7	15.9	-1.21	15.6	14.6	1.04
Josh Boone	17	15	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-7	11	15.0	15.3	-0.32	12.6	15.5	-2.91
Yi Jianlian	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	6	-15	15.8	14.8	0.98	14.1	16.0	-1.91
Devin Harris	82	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-5	7	15.2	15.7	-0.50	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Keyon Dooling	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	4	-11	14.9	15.5	-0.63	13.3	16.4	-3.01
Vince Carter	70	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	1	-5	15.6	14.2	1.39	16.2	11.6	4.64
Jarvis Hayes	59	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	7	-17	14.6	16.4	-1.81	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Brook Lopez	49	50	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.35	-13	10	-23	15.3	15.3	0.00	14.5	15.7	-1.25

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	67	68	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-6	15	14.8	15.7	-0.94	15.1	15.6	-0.41
Hedo Turkoglu	78	78	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.49	6	-3	9	15.0	15.4	-0.37	15.6	13.6	2.04
Dwight Howard	75	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-2	7	15.1	14.7	0.45	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Rafer Alston	56	56	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.57	-1	4	-5	15.5	14.4	1.05	15.5	14.9	0.66
Courtney Lee	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.57	-1	4	-5	14.8	15.3	-0.45	15.5	15.0	0.46
Tony Battie	17	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	2	-1	16.4	14.8	1.66	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Anthony Johnson	39	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.16	4	-1	5	14.4	15.5	-1.05	14.9	15.5	-0.66
JJ Redick	20	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	1	1	14.8	15.1	-0.32	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Marcin Gortat	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	5	-7	14.7	15.1	-0.45	15.4	15.2	0.20
Mickael Pietrus	53	52	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.18	-8	11	-19	15.4	14.7	0.69	15.1	15.5	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.13,0.24,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.87,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.48,0.33,0.18,0.24,0.53,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.95,1	91.7%
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	91.5%
NOP 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1	91.4%