NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	8.9 [130]		MVP	Jason Kapono (PHI): +17.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	4.3 [623]		LVP	Terrence Williams (NJN): -22.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.05	0.01	13	59%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.12
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	18	49%	0.04	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.15,-0.23,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.03
Terrence Williams	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	10	30%	-0.12	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	7	100%	0.24	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	14	56%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	55%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.02	14	48%	0.09	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	9	36%	0.00	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	33.2	15.8	25.0	1.8	40.7	142.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.3%

PHI +2.9%

NJN -14.5%

PHI +17.5%

NJN -10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.9	14.8	15.3	103.3	106.6	106.0
season	15.9	15.1		98.7	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.0		108.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	17.8	14.3	20.1	16.9
PHI	14.3	13.5	17.0	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	32	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	2	-7	18.2	16.2	2.07	13.6	15.3	-1.70
Courtney Lee	42	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-2	1	16.8	16.9	-0.13	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Eduardo Najera	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-10	17	15.1	18.3	-3.22	16.8	13.1	3.62
Terrence Williams	58	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	0	-3	17.3	16.2	1.14	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Brook Lopez	83	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-6	9	16.8	17.5	-0.68	14.8	14.7	0.06
Trenton Hassell	87	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-3	3	16.7	21.2	-4.57	14.8	14.5	0.28
Bobby Simmons	37	36	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	10	-23	18.6	15.7	2.98	12.3	16.4	-4.12
Rafer Alston	76	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	0	-3	16.4	19.2	-2.78	15.3	11.6	3.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	43	42	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-7	17	13.1	16.3	-3.18	19.1	14.9	4.20
Thaddeus Young	52	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	16.5	12.4	4.08	15.5	18.8	-3.31
Andre Iguodala	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	4	-5	15.4	12.5	2.83	16.1	19.7	-3.61
Lou Williams	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	2	-1	15.3	12.8	2.52	16.6	18.0	-1.42
Samuel Dalembert	55	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.59	-6	9	-15	16.3	12.5	3.80	16.2	18.0	-1.87
Jason Smith	33	31	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	-4	11	12.4	16.1	-3.77	16.7	17.0	-0.31
Royal Ivey	16	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	2	-1	12.4	15.3	-2.91	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Marreese Speights	34	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	1	1	13.0	15.8	-2.87	18.1	16.1	1.98
Jason Kapono	38	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.16	3	0	3	12.6	16.3	-3.76	18.6	15.6	3.01
Rodney Carney	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	4	-5	13.4	14.9	-1.45	24.0	16.3	7.71
Elton Brand	34	36	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	9	-15	17.4	13.2	4.12	15.5	17.8	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1	93.1%
POR 83, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.95,0.99,1	93.0%
ATL 104, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.94,1,1	92.8%