NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	6.8 [480]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ATL): +17.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	6.6 [320]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -17.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	16	71%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	13	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Obinna Ekezie	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	5	79%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Collier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	16	57%	0.06	4	-0.18	8	50%	-0.07
Josh Smith	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	6	28%	-0.12	3	-0.06	6	17%	-0.08

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lionel Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.10	-0.01	6	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.10
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	66%	0.10	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.08
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	17	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	70%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	70%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	8	45%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	32.2	15.6	27.3	2.5	38.4	142.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +18.0%

LAC +18.9%

LAC +14.6%

LAC +1.5%

ATL -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.5	114.3	118.1	104.0
season	15.6	16.0		98.1	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	17.3	14.8	17.2	15.7
LAC	16.1	14.8	15.2	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	11	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-8	9	16.0	15.7	0.32	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Obinna Ekezie	21	24	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-5	3	13.4	16.4	-3.03	15.0	15.6	-0.52
Tom Gugliotta	39	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-7	7	17.5	14.4	3.15	15.9	15.1	0.85
Jason Collier	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-4	1	18.1	15.2	2.82	15.5	15.4	0.09
Josh Smith	50	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	14.7	17.0	-2.25	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Josh Childress	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	15.4	17.4	-2.01	14.7	18.5	-3.80
Al Harrington	64	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	15.7	15.8	-0.14	16.2	13.6	2.59
Boris Diaw	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	16.3	15.0	1.28	15.6	15.2	0.33
Predrag Drobnjak	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-4	1	16.1	15.2	0.88	15.6	15.2	0.35
Tyronn Lue	77	81	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	2	-11	15.4	17.7	-2.36	15.4	15.3	0.14

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Chalmers	34	33	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.40	16	-9	25	15.4	15.4	-0.02	17.6	14.7	2.92
Chris Wilcox	11	12	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.42	15	-8	23	18.9	15.0	3.95	21.3	14.9	6.47
Bobby Simmons	65	62	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.24	21	-14	35	15.6	15.1	0.52	16.3	14.6	1.71
Elton Brand	79	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	15.9	13.1	2.81	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Quinton Ross	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	10	-13	15.1	16.0	-0.89	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Mikki Moore	10	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	7	-7	13.3	15.7	-2.38	17.2	15.5	1.77
Zeljko Rebraca	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	11	-15	14.9	15.6	-0.67	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Chris Kaman	60	58	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	11	-15	16.3	13.8	2.56	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Corey Maggette	71	68	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	10	-13	14.4	18.6	-4.16	14.7	18.8	-4.16
Rick Brunson	61	59	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.07	-10	17	-27	15.2	15.9	-0.70	14.6	17.8	-3.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.95,0.99,1	92.9%
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	92.8%
LAC 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.97,1	92.6%