NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	9.1 [131]		MVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): +21.0%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	3.6 [226]		LVP	Tyler Zeller (BOS): -14.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	23	56%	0.14	0	0.00	15	93%	0.11
Eric Gordon	0.08	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.21	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	8	44%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.05
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.08	-0.03	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Jeff Withey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	4	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.12	0.04	17	63%	0.22	1	-0.01	9	89%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.07	0.03	14	73%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.14	0.00	7	50%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	-0.00	8	52%	0.12	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.08	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	10	42%	-0.02	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	9	11%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	28.3	15.4	26.4	2.5	36.5	134.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.3%

NOP -25.9%

BOS +8.0%

BOS +12.3%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BOS	NBA	NOP	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.1	106.4	112.5	104.2
season	15.8	14.3		106.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.2		103.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.9	13.3	17.2	16.8	15.7
BOS	15.4	14.9	14.9	13.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	26	27	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.02	6	-14	20	14.6	16.2	-1.55	14.1	14.8	-0.72
Ryan Anderson	54	54	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-10	12	14.9	16.8	-1.94	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	33	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-8	8	13.4	17.0	-3.56	15.5	14.1	1.45
Jeff Withey	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	14.5	15.8	-1.32	13.6	14.6	-1.05
John Salmons	11	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-8	8	15.6	15.7	-0.11	12.7	14.9	-2.20
Luke Babbitt	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-5	2	14.2	15.9	-1.67	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Anthony Davis	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-5	2	16.1	13.9	2.26	14.8	13.7	1.14
Dante Cunningham	71	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	4	-16	16.0	14.9	1.09	14.6	14.5	0.18
Tyreke Evans	65	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	0	-8	16.9	13.1	3.85	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Omer Asik	48	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.32	-8	0	-8	16.5	14.9	1.57	14.9	14.2	0.72
Eric Gordon	70	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	5	-18	15.8	15.4	0.43	14.5	14.7	-0.17

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	28	27	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.47	11	-3	14	13.0	15.3	-2.30	17.6	15.0	2.56
Marcus Smart	62	60	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-7	22	14.0	15.7	-1.77	15.5	16.1	-0.51
Jae Crowder	74	71	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-3	14	14.1	16.1	-2.00	16.0	14.8	1.20
Jared Sullinger	62	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-2	12	14.6	14.6	-0.04	16.5	14.4	2.11
Avery Bradley	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	5	-2	14.7	14.5	0.19	15.8	15.6	0.20
James Young	20	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	3	2	14.2	14.7	-0.43	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Gerald Wallace	6	5	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	6	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.10	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Tyler Zeller	43	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	14	-20	16.0	13.5	2.46	14.2	17.0	-2.81
Evan Turner	46	47	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	13	-18	15.4	13.8	1.61	16.0	15.4	0.62
Marcus Thornton	28	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.05	-5	13	-18	15.6	14.2	1.48	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Brandon Bass	47	46	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.17	-1	9	-10	14.5	14.7	-0.16	15.3	16.1	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	93.1%
DAL 70, LAL 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.84,1	92.9%
BOS 105, CHH 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.85,0.85,0.98,1	92.5%