NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	7.5 [323]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +44.3%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	6.8 [203]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -26.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.24	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.00	12	74%	0.27	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Predrag Drobnjak	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.00	22	55%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	16	53%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.11	-0.05	14	37%	-0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.44	0.44	0.21	0.22	-0.02	24	72%	0.48	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	10	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.34,-0.3,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.25,-0.27	-0.27	-0.21	-0.06	-0.00	20	36%	-0.10	6	-0.17	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	28.2	15.7	25.2	1.8	35.1	130.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.8%

HOU +6.5%

HOU +12.7%

SEA -0.2%

HOU +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.6	108.9	112.2	102.3
season	16.0	16.8		106.3	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		106.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.2	16.0	16.5	15.8	16.4
HOU	15.5	14.0	17.8	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	35	36	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-7	11	16.1	16.5	-0.44	16.3	15.2	1.10
Desmond Mason	69	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-8	13	16.3	16.5	-0.16	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Olumide Oyedeji	4	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	1	-5	22.0	16.1	5.91	16.4	15.6	0.80
Art Long	39	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	3	-9	15.9	16.7	-0.76	18.1	13.8	4.30
Rashard Lewis	86	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-4	5	16.1	22.0	-5.91	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Gary Payton	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.52	4	-7	11	16.0	17.8	-1.81	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Shammond Williams	27	27	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	6	-15	18.6	15.4	3.25	17.3	14.9	2.41
Jerome James	51	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	2	-7	16.8	15.8	0.94	14.6	17.0	-2.39
Brent Barry	66	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	2	-7	15.9	17.5	-1.62	14.5	18.9	-4.41

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	85	85	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-6	15	15.2	22.8	-7.58	16.3	17.2	-0.89
Steve Francis	80	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	1	1	15.7	15.0	0.73	16.5	15.4	1.13
Kenny Thomas	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	1	1	16.7	11.2	5.53	16.5	15.8	0.73
Eddie Griffin	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.48	-3	6	-9	14.7	16.6	-1.88	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Moochie Norris	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.48	-3	6	-9	14.7	16.6	-1.88	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Kelvin Cato	43	43	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	-3	9	16.6	14.7	1.88	16.9	15.9	0.97
Jason Collier	18	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	2	-1	11.2	16.7	-5.53	15.8	16.5	-0.73
Dan Langhi	13	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	4	-5	18.5	15.2	3.38	17.4	16.2	1.19
Walt Williams	45	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	1	1	16.4	14.9	1.51	16.4	16.3	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.48,0.33,0.18,0.24,0.53,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 81, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.47,0.65,0.81,0.92,0.97,1,1	91.8%
NJN 102, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.13,0.24,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.87,0.83,1	91.7%
CHH 95, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.76,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	91.1%