NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	117		Excitement	11.7 [22]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +41.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	16.4 [49]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -20.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.16	-0.00	11	64%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.10	0.01	12	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	12	58%	0.17	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.06
Adam Morrison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Singletary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.08	0.01	24	41%	0.12	3	-0.14	8	62%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.11
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07	0.04	-0.14	-0.03	17	55%	-0.06	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.32,0.28,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.13	0.30	0.01	28	59%	0.48	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34	0.34	0.08	0.25	-0.01	11	64%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.06	0.03	14	73%	0.29	4	-0.18	5	80%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	-0.02	9	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	7	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	8	32%	-0.16	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.00	16	29%	-0.07	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.18	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	30.4	16.8	25.1	2.5	38.9	1.0	17.1	1.8	12.5	170.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +17.9%

LAL -12.1%

CHA +44.6%

CHA +4.1%

LAL -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.3	15.5	108.3	102.8	106.4
season	16.5	14.9		103.0	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		102.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	17.0	16.6	17.2	18.2	16.1	17.0
LAL	15.7	14.0	14.1	15.4	18.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	90	88	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	0	7	16.8	18.2	-1.41	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Gerald Wallace	61	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-5	17	16.9	17.2	-0.26	15.3	15.3	0.02
Boris Diaw	91	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-1	9	16.5	19.8	-3.23	15.5	14.3	1.22
Raymond Felton	99	97	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	1	5	17.1	16.0	1.14	15.2	16.8	-1.64
Raja Bell	87	88	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	-1	9	16.9	17.5	-0.59	15.4	14.9	0.51
Shannon Brown	41	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	6	-5	16.9	17.2	-0.31	15.8	15.0	0.81
Juwan Howard	27	26	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	9	-11	17.8	16.8	0.98	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Sean Singletary	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	6	-5	16.0	17.1	-1.14	16.8	15.2	1.64
DeSagana Diop	18	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	7	-7	18.2	16.8	1.41	15.8	15.2	0.64
Adam Morrison	17	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	13	-19	20.1	16.5	3.58	12.9	15.8	-2.83

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	82	85	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.34	3	-10	13	15.3	15.4	-0.06	17.2	16.4	0.78
Pau Gasol	76	79	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.19	7	-14	21	14.5	17.2	-2.69	17.6	15.7	1.90
Vladimir Radmanovic	15	15	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-13	19	11.5	15.9	-4.48	17.3	17.0	0.26
Trevor Ariza	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	0	-7	16.7	15.0	1.66	16.7	17.1	-0.44
Sasha Vujacic	46	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-6	5	15.1	15.5	-0.40	17.6	16.7	0.88
Jordan Farmar	38	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	16.0	15.0	1.02	18.2	16.5	1.72
Lamar Odom	52	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	4	-15	15.7	15.0	0.65	16.6	17.5	-0.91
Luke Walton	34	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	2	-11	15.1	15.4	-0.29	16.1	17.5	-1.43
Derek Fisher	71	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	4	-15	15.0	16.0	-0.99	16.0	19.1	-3.06
Andrew Bynum	78	78	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.59	-10	3	-13	15.5	14.7	0.81	16.6	18.1	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.25,0.32,0.45,0.46,0.6,0.39,0.07,0.06,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.24,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 117, ATL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.15,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.02,0,0	86.7%
CHI 110, WAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.29,0.32,0.27,1	85.3%
PHI 109, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.99,1	85.2%