NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	10.1 [68]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +50.3%
Washington Wizards	114		Comeback	6.0 [312]		LVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): -13.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Nwaba	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.18	-0.01	6	55%	0.24	0	0.00	8	62%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.06	0.00	8	89%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	15	66%	0.27	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.06
Lauri Markkanen	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.01	12	44%	0.10	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.00	11	48%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	5	29%	-0.00	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Kris Dunn	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	17	53%	0.02	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.37,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.19	0.32	0.01	29	65%	0.57	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.12
John Wall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,0.13	0.13	-0.06	0.20	0.01	20	43%	0.20	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.05
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.05	0.00	11	77%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.8	26.4	14.4	24.4	1.7	37.3	133.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +48.9%

CHI -25.7%

CHI -3.8%

WAS +32.2%

CHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	14.7	113.4	116.3	107.5
season	14.2	14.8		103.2	108.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		107.9	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.7	15.1	14.3	15.7	14.1
WAS	14.9	14.9	17.6	14.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	43	42	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-8	12	13.8	14.4	-0.51	16.0	15.0	1.04
Bobby Portis	37	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-2	0	13.7	14.4	-0.64	16.3	14.9	1.40
Kris Dunn	63	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-10	16	14.0	14.4	-0.44	15.8	14.6	1.26
Paul Zipser	28	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	0	-4	15.4	13.6	1.78	16.3	15.1	1.23
Denzel Valentine	47	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-1	-2	13.8	14.4	-0.57	15.1	15.7	-0.66
David Nwaba	50	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-3	2	14.4	13.8	0.57	15.7	15.1	0.66
Justin Holiday	69	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-4	4	13.6	15.4	-1.78	15.1	16.3	-1.23
Jerian Grant	34	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	6	-16	14.4	14.0	0.44	14.6	15.8	-1.26
Lauri Markkanen	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	14.5	13.5	0.98	14.9	16.2	-1.37
Nikola Mirotic	55	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	1	-6	14.2	14.0	0.18	15.0	16.0	-1.06

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	80	82	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-6	16	15.6	14.5	1.11	14.3	13.0	1.33
Otto Porter Jr.	73	74	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-5	14	15.5	15.2	0.23	14.6	12.4	2.21
Mike Scott	57	54	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-1	6	14.6	16.5	-1.86	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Bradley Beal	90	91	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-4	12	15.4	15.9	-0.51	14.2	12.8	1.38
Marcin Gortat	47	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	3	-2	16.1	14.7	1.38	14.9	13.3	1.60
Kelly Oubre Jr.	45	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	3	-2	14.0	16.6	-2.56	13.4	14.7	-1.23
Tomas Satoransky	25	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	7	-10	15.4	15.4	-0.01	13.1	14.4	-1.28
Jodie Meeks	8	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	15.9	15.4	0.51	12.8	14.2	-1.38
Ian Mahinmi	17	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	9	-14	15.6	15.4	0.29	12.2	14.5	-2.28
Markieff Morris	48	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.15	-2	6	-8	16.4	14.4	1.98	14.0	14.3	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.29,0.32,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 86, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.27,1	91.8%
DET 98, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.53,0.28,0.1,0.15,1	91.1%
TOR 86, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.58,1	90.9%