NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	8.3 [226]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +51.6%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	13.6 [137]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -28.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.52	0.25	0.27	0.00	13	81%	0.55	1	-0.03	10	80%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	65%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	2	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.07	11	100%	0.07
Ben Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	36%	-0.00	1	-0.08	4	25%	-0.07
Richard Hamilton	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.1	0.05	-0.14	0.01	14	55%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.09	-0.18	0.01	14	25%	-0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.20	0.01	17	81%	0.54	5	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.20	0.01	6	89%	0.35	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.09
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	18	37%	-0.07	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	29.3	15.8	32.5	2.0	36.6	139.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +58.9%

DET -21.4%

ATL +29.0%

DET -21.8%

ATL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	16.5	15.6	114.0	112.5	104.4
season	16.9	15.6		108.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.3	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.6	17.1	13.5	18.2	16.7
ATL	17.5	14.9	15.3	18.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	17	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	1	-3	13.9	17.3	-3.45	15.7	16.6	-0.94
Carlos Delfino	25	25	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-1	1	14.3	17.6	-3.34	15.6	16.8	-1.14
Lindsey Hunter	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-1	1	0.0	16.8	-16.85	0.0	16.5	-16.45
Carlos Arroyo	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	5	-11	14.7	17.3	-2.56	14.4	17.1	-2.66
Richard Hamilton	56	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-5	9	17.2	15.6	1.56	16.5	16.3	0.27
Antonio McDyess	50	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	8	-17	16.5	16.8	-0.31	15.7	17.5	-1.83
Chauncey Billups	65	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.51	5	-6	11	17.3	14.7	2.56	17.1	14.4	2.66
Ben Wallace	60	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.49	4	-5	9	16.6	16.7	-0.06	16.9	15.4	1.56
Tayshaun Prince	70	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.58	2	-3	5	17.4	13.3	4.10	16.5	16.1	0.47
Rasheed Wallace	65	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.48	-3	2	-5	17.4	14.4	2.94	16.9	14.9	2.01

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	68	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	-3	7	16.4	16.6	-0.25	17.8	12.7	5.15
Josh Childress	62	61	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.55	1	0	1	16.3	16.9	-0.61	15.8	18.8	-3.09
Salim Stoudamire	47	48	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-14	29	15.3	17.8	-2.57	15.0	18.7	-3.74
Al Harrington	61	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.56	-5	6	-11	17.7	13.7	3.97	17.8	14.2	3.59
Royal Ivey	26	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	7	-13	18.7	15.5	3.23	20.2	15.3	4.99
Esteban Batista	19	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	-1	3	15.1	16.8	-1.72	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Zaza Pachulia	62	62	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	3	-5	17.0	15.3	1.68	16.6	16.7	-0.02
Josh Smith	50	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.30	-8	9	-17	16.4	16.5	-0.03	16.4	17.0	-0.66
Marvin Williams	45	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.17	4	-3	7	15.0	18.0	-3.02	15.2	18.4	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.53,0.28,0.1,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.43,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.22,0.22,0.37,1	91.7%
CHI 110, WAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.29,0.32,0.27,1	91.1%
DAL 94, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.26,1	91.0%