inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 109 Excitement9.8 [67] MVPAustin Daye (DET): +58.3%
Detroit Pistons 112 Comeback132.3 [12] LVPAndres Nocioni (PHI): -14.5%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elton Brand0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.010.10-0.021650%0.161-0.03250%-0.02
Jodie Meeks0.130,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.130.090.040.00773%0.1300.001100%0.00
Thaddeus Young0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11-0.020.13-0.001155%0.193-0.0800%0.00
Marreese Speights0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.05-0.00671%0.1100.0020%-0.05
Evan Turner0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.09-0.020.031173%0.102-0.064100%0.03
Spencer Hawes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00455%0.041-0.02367%-0.01
Lou Williams-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1-0.06-0.030.001734%-0.1000.00757%0.03
Jrue Holiday-0.100,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.10.00-0.070.031160%0.054-0.153100%0.01
Andres Nocioni-0.150,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.060.01829%-0.092-0.061100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.580.580.090.48-0.02883%0.692-0.102100%0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.320.320.090.240.011468%0.382-0.06633%-0.05
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.060.060.040.040.021556%0.092-0.03683%0.04
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.011253%0.122-0.07667%-0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.001045%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00840%-0.0100.004100%0.03
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00932%-0.0600.00475%-0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.00212%-0.061-0.03425%-0.04
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.060.02744%-0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.080.00743%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.72.527.317.629.32.337.90.822.1165.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +42.6%
PHI -1.4%
DET +6.3%
DET +0.2%
DET +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIDETNBAPHIDETNBA
this game14.916.015.5105.8108.7105.7
season15.516.7104.6106.4
opponent15.215.5110.1103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
PHI13.517.313.316.513.214.9
DET15.315.518.815.614.116.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights27260.11-0.610.72-0.045-81311.915.9-4.1018.615.13.45
Jodie Meeks42420.05-0.550.61-0.188-111913.316.0-2.6414.317.1-2.81
Spencer Hawes33330.04-0.540.590.10-2-1-116.214.31.9216.415.80.54
Elton Brand7576-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.18-52-716.211.44.8315.318.0-2.66
Andres Nocioni7674-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.17-85-1316.111.44.6515.916.2-0.24
Lou Williams6062-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.31-52-714.815.0-0.1816.515.31.18
Thaddeus Young6968-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.490-3314.116.4-2.2116.215.50.69
Evan Turner5454-0.500.00-0.51-0.39-41-514.415.4-1.1016.016.0-0.04
Jrue Holiday7980-0.530.03-0.56-0.42-41-514.815.0-0.2216.115.80.28

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Daye49490.61-0.110.730.417-41115.916.1-0.1614.914.90.01
Tracy McGrady71720.60-0.100.690.455-2716.514.91.5414.615.5-0.83
Rodney Stuckey71690.53-0.030.550.414-1515.217.7-2.4515.513.61.96
Tayshaun Prince75740.430.070.360.46-14-515.218.2-3.0914.515.9-1.42
Charlie Villanueva39410.240.26-0.030.2112-114.217.1-2.9715.014.80.17
Greg Monroe59570.230.27-0.030.29-25-717.414.13.2514.715.1-0.35
Richard Hamilton32350.090.41-0.31-0.024-1517.415.42.0414.515.0-0.50
Ben Gordon4544-0.010.51-0.530.04-25-716.215.80.4315.414.50.86
Jason Maxiell1213-0.060.56-0.620.03-36-917.915.72.1715.714.80.94
Ben Wallace6261-0.160.66-0.82-0.2221116.016.0-0.0814.715.2-0.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 87, GSW 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,191.2%
SAS 100, PHI 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,191.0%
IND 95, POR 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.16,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,190.6%