NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	9.8 [67]		MVP	Austin Daye (DET): +58.3%
Detroit Pistons	112		Comeback	132.3 [12]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (PHI): -14.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.02	16	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	73%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.13	-0.00	11	55%	0.19	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	6	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Evan Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	11	73%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	17	34%	-0.10	0	0.00	7	57%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.07	0.03	11	60%	0.05	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	8	29%	-0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58	0.58	0.09	0.48	-0.02	8	83%	0.69	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32	0.32	0.09	0.24	0.01	14	68%	0.38	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	15	56%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	53%	0.12	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	7	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	7	43%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	27.3	17.6	29.3	2.3	37.9	0.8	22.1	165.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.6%

PHI -1.4%

DET +6.3%

DET +0.2%

DET +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	15.5	105.8	108.7	105.7
season	15.5	16.7		104.6	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		110.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.5	17.3	13.3	16.5	13.2	14.9
DET	15.3	15.5	18.8	15.6	14.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	27	26	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-8	13	11.9	15.9	-4.10	18.6	15.1	3.45
Jodie Meeks	42	42	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.18	8	-11	19	13.3	16.0	-2.64	14.3	17.1	-2.81
Spencer Hawes	33	33	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.10	-2	-1	-1	16.2	14.3	1.92	16.4	15.8	0.54
Elton Brand	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	2	-7	16.2	11.4	4.83	15.3	18.0	-2.66
Andres Nocioni	76	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	5	-13	16.1	11.4	4.65	15.9	16.2	-0.24
Lou Williams	60	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	2	-7	14.8	15.0	-0.18	16.5	15.3	1.18
Thaddeus Young	69	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-3	3	14.1	16.4	-2.21	16.2	15.5	0.69
Evan Turner	54	54	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	14.4	15.4	-1.10	16.0	16.0	-0.04
Jrue Holiday	79	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.42	-4	1	-5	14.8	15.0	-0.22	16.1	15.8	0.28

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	49	49	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	15.9	16.1	-0.16	14.9	14.9	0.01
Tracy McGrady	71	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-2	7	16.5	14.9	1.54	14.6	15.5	-0.83
Rodney Stuckey	71	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	-1	5	15.2	17.7	-2.45	15.5	13.6	1.96
Tayshaun Prince	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	4	-5	15.2	18.2	-3.09	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Charlie Villanueva	39	41	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	2	-1	14.2	17.1	-2.97	15.0	14.8	0.17
Greg Monroe	59	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	5	-7	17.4	14.1	3.25	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Richard Hamilton	32	35	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	-1	5	17.4	15.4	2.04	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Ben Gordon	45	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	5	-7	16.2	15.8	0.43	15.4	14.5	0.86
Jason Maxiell	12	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	17.9	15.7	2.17	15.7	14.8	0.94
Ben Wallace	62	61	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.22	2	1	1	16.0	16.0	-0.08	14.7	15.2	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	91.2%
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	91.0%
IND 95, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.16,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,1	90.6%