NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	117		Excitement	13.7 [6]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +44.8%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	4.4 [160]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -37.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.27	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.14	-0.01	21	57%	0.27	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Greg Monroe	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	20	51%	0.18	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Michael Carter-Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.15,-0.17,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.09	1	-0.08	8	62%	-0.08
O.J. Mayo	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Miles Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.13	0.01	17	50%	-0.04	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.15	-0.26	-0.03	16	33%	-0.17	4	-0.21	4	75%	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.08	0.35	-0.02	14	61%	0.45	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.15	0.03	19	62%	0.38	5	-0.23	2	100%	0.03
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	8	28%	-0.08	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.18	0.01	11	55%	-0.03	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.17	0.00	11	32%	-0.22	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.04	-0.19	0.00	8	37%	-0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.02	-0.22	0.04	24	48%	-0.17	3	-0.10	8	62%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	26.4	15.4	27.7	1.8	41.2	2.4	18.5	2.4	13.5	179.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.7%

MIL +2.3%

MIL +31.2%

ATL -5.8%

ATL -12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	14.9	98.3	91.6	105.1
season	14.8	14.2		102.8	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		100.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	15.3	14.8	16.1	13.5	15.8	15.0
ATL	14.1	15.2	15.2	13.2	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	96	96	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.29	15	-7	22	15.3	13.9	1.41	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Jabari Parker	105	104	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.10	18	-10	28	14.9	16.1	-1.20	14.5	12.7	1.72
Greg Monroe	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	4	0	14.7	15.5	-0.85	14.1	14.5	-0.47
Michael Carter-Williams	79	82	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.42	-2	10	-12	14.8	15.3	-0.48	13.8	15.2	-1.42
O.J. Mayo	80	79	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	7	-6	15.0	15.1	-0.06	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	78	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	6	-4	14.9	15.3	-0.40	14.5	13.7	0.84
Miles Plumlee	44	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	4	0	15.5	14.7	0.85	14.5	14.1	0.47
Rashad Vaughn	37	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	10	-12	15.4	14.8	0.54	14.7	14.0	0.72

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	71	69	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.16	6	-14	20	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Tim Hardaway Jr.	31	29	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-15	22	13.2	14.6	-1.37	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Mike Muscala	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	13.7	14.3	-0.60	13.1	15.4	-2.30
Dennis Schroder	85	85	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-9	10	13.9	15.0	-1.03	14.6	16.1	-1.47
Mike Scott	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.42	6	-14	20	12.8	15.0	-2.16	14.2	15.4	-1.22
Jeff Teague	33	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	1	-10	15.4	13.8	1.56	16.1	14.6	1.53
Kent Bazemore	54	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	11	-30	14.2	14.2	0.01	16.3	14.0	2.27
Al Horford	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	14.5	13.5	0.95	15.5	13.6	1.88
Kyle Korver	79	83	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.42	-10	2	-12	14.6	13.5	1.11	15.1	14.8	0.25
Paul Millsap	94	94	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	8	-24	14.5	13.2	1.36	14.9	15.5	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.15,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 132, GSW 127	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.1,0.01,0	86.8%
CHA 117, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.25,0.32,0.45,0.46,0.6,0.39,0.07,0.06,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.24,0.15,0	86.7%
PHX 161, NJN 157	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.4,0.31,0.54,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.36,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.09,0.09,0	85.8%