NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	132		Excitement	14.5 [2]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): +58.9%
Golden State Warriors	127		Comeback	6.7 [101]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -18.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.59	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.56,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59	0.17	0.42	0.00	17	71%	0.70	2	-0.11	7	86%	0.09
Eric Gordon	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36	0.06	0.27	-0.03	19	59%	0.46	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	-0.00	0.23	0.00	9	55%	0.29	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04
Montrezl Harrell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	10	62%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	13	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.4,-0.4,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.18,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	23	48%	0.13	7	-0.24	14	79%	0.07
Clint Capela	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	8	53%	-0.00	3	-0.11	3	0%	-0.10

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.28,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.15	0.01	28	57%	0.35	2	-0.07	12	100%	0.22
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.08	0.00	22	56%	0.34	5	-0.25	6	100%	0.08
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.01	15	57%	0.05	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.21
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	20	33%	-0.13	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.1	2.8	35.3	16.0	30.7	1.6	35.9	1.8	17.1	2.5	21.4	192.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +104.0%

GSW -15.7%

GSW -3.3%

GSW -37.0%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	13.1	14.8	108.2	104.1	107.7
season	13.7	13.5		113.2	114.9
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.3	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.0	15.9	14.2	17.4	20.4	15.4
GSW	11.9	13.5	13.0	12.6	15.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	80	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.64	-2	7	-9	16.3	13.8	2.48	12.9	13.3	-0.41
Patrick Beverley	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-16	37	13.7	17.3	-3.59	13.8	12.3	1.51
Montrezl Harrell	50	50	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	1	3	15.5	15.5	0.00	13.5	12.7	0.80
Sam Dekker	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-4	13	16.3	14.8	1.56	13.6	12.7	0.92
Ryan Anderson	93	95	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	3	-1	15.9	14.1	1.82	12.7	14.3	-1.53
Corey Brewer	27	26	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-6	17	15.3	15.5	-0.21	14.4	12.7	1.73
Trevor Ariza	83	82	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	10	-15	15.1	16.2	-1.02	12.4	14.4	-1.99
James Harden	98	97	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.33	-6	11	-17	15.5	15.2	0.36	12.7	14.5	-1.78
Clint Capela	56	56	-0.64	1.14	-1.78	-0.38	-9	14	-23	14.4	16.4	-2.00	12.7	13.4	-0.65

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-4	3	13.7	13.1	0.62	12.3	15.5	-3.20
Stephen Curry	81	81	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-15	25	12.9	13.3	-0.38	15.6	15.1	0.47
James Michael McAdoo	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-6	7	13.2	13.0	0.13	16.3	15.3	0.97
JaVale McGee	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	11.3	13.2	-1.92	12.7	15.7	-3.01
Ian Clark	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-7	9	13.2	13.0	0.11	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Andre Iguodala	79	80	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.47	14	-19	33	12.1	14.9	-2.77	15.1	16.0	-0.90
David West	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.3	12.9	2.39	17.7	15.3	2.32
Shaun Livingston	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	5	-15	13.7	12.8	0.96	16.1	15.1	0.99
Patrick McCaw	20	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	6	-17	14.2	12.8	1.42	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Draymond Green	91	91	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-6	7	12.6	14.5	-1.94	15.1	16.5	-1.42
Zaza Pachulia	19	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	9	-23	14.7	12.8	1.92	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Klay Thompson	99	100	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	1	-7	12.9	13.7	-0.72	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Kevin Durant	102	104	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.55	-5	0	-5	13.3	11.8	1.51	15.6	14.8	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 161, NJN 157	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.4,0.31,0.54,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.36,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.09,0.09,0	87.0%
MIL 117, ATL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.15,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.02,0,0	86.8%
SAC 97, CHA 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.45,0.71,0.57,0.15,0	85.4%