NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	9.7 [77]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): +5.6%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	2.4 [711]		LVP	Jeff Green (OKC): -31.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	52%	0.02	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	73%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Kyle Weaver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	19	44%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	20	55%	0.04	5	-0.19	7	86%	0.02
Jeff Green	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.08	-0.25	-0.01	15	42%	-0.02	3	-0.29	6	100%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.02	9	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	-0.12	-0.01	17	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.04
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.12,-0.28,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.12	0.01	17	55%	0.01	1	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	5	40%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	14	21%	-0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.25,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	22	37%	-0.19	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.0	2.5	28.0	14.8	24.0	1.8	32.5	1.8	19.9	153.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -32.8%

OKC -13.2%

NJN +45.7%

NJN +46.9%

NJN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NJN	NBA	OKC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.5	94.3	96.3	106.4
season	14.9	16.0		100.5	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		108.9	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	14.0	15.0	16.3	15.5	14.7	15.1
NJN	13.7	17.0	14.4	15.1	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	7	7	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-7	10	14.9	15.2	-0.30	16.6	14.7	1.82
Kyle Weaver	30	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-11	18	15.7	14.9	0.75	15.6	14.6	1.06
Nick Collison	50	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-6	8	15.5	14.8	0.74	15.1	14.6	0.45
Russell Westbrook	74	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-3	2	15.4	14.5	0.83	14.9	14.8	0.04
Desmond Mason	53	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	13	-30	14.9	15.3	-0.42	14.1	15.6	-1.47
Earl Watson	73	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.55	5	-9	14	14.9	15.6	-0.62	15.2	14.0	1.27
Kevin Durant	94	97	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	15.2	14.3	0.96	14.9	14.1	0.85
Nenad Krstic	48	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	5	-14	14.8	15.4	-0.67	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Jeff Green	96	97	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	3	-10	14.9	17.2	-2.28	14.7	16.9	-2.24

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	88	88	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-6	16	14.9	14.5	0.42	15.0	15.6	-0.54
Devin Harris	84	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-3	10	14.5	16.1	-1.55	15.6	13.3	2.31
Bobby Simmons	39	41	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-9	22	14.2	15.3	-1.09	15.9	14.6	1.26
Brook Lopez	83	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	-5	14	14.8	15.1	-0.28	15.2	15.0	0.23
Jarvis Hayes	57	53	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.48	-3	7	-10	15.1	14.6	0.43	13.9	16.4	-2.44
Ryan Anderson	55	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	0	4	14.3	15.5	-1.26	15.5	14.8	0.67
Josh Boone	23	22	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	5	-6	15.7	14.6	1.11	15.2	15.1	0.06
Eduardo Najera	34	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	7	-10	14.9	14.9	0.02	15.7	14.9	0.82
Keyon Dooling	71	68	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.37	-13	17	-30	15.9	12.9	2.94	14.7	15.9	-1.13
Chris Douglas-Roberts	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	0.0	15.0	-15.01	3.0	15.2	-12.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, BKN 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.85,1	89.4%
NOH 86, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.76,0.72,0.34,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.95,1	88.6%
MEM 89, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.98,1	88.2%