NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	6.1 [606]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (GSW): +33.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	103		Comeback	2.1 [326]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -18.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.33	0.35	0.04	0.06	26	71%	0.36	1	-0.02	18	94%	0.04
Kelenna Azubuike	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.05	-0.02	18	51%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rob Kurz	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeMarcus Nelson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	61%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Anthony Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.08	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	-0.00	0.01	15	63%	0.14	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.16	-0.02	0.10	12	81%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Singletary	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	70%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	61%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	13	41%	0.01	4	-0.10	3	0%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	19	36%	-0.07	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.0	33.0	15.5	27.0	2.5	34.4	140.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +19.1%

GSW +13.6%

GSW +10.1%

GSW +9.3%

CHA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	15.5	114.6	108.4	106.4
season	13.8	16.5		107.3	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.0		104.5	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.5	14.3	14.3	16.0	14.3
CHA	15.8	17.7	17.0	13.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	92	91	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-8	23	14.0	20.7	-6.77	15.7	19.7	-4.01
Ronny Turiaf	48	48	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-12	31	14.5	14.0	0.48	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Kelenna Azubuike	83	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-1	9	15.0	9.8	5.19	16.0	15.3	0.73
Andris Biedrins	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	14.1	14.6	-0.54	16.0	15.6	0.44
Marco Belinelli	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	8	-9	14.7	13.2	1.44	15.8	16.2	-0.39
CJ Watson	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	7	-7	15.1	13.4	1.74	16.5	15.3	1.20
Rob Kurz	20	19	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	-3	13	11.9	14.9	-2.98	18.2	15.3	2.82
DeMarcus Nelson	3	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	9	-11	2.7	14.6	-11.97	11.7	16.1	-4.34
Anthony Randolph	17	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.05	-4	11	-15	12.2	14.7	-2.53	13.4	16.4	-2.97
Brandan Wright	15	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	10	-13	15.7	14.0	1.75	17.3	15.6	1.70
Anthony Morrow	18	18	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.11	-12	19	-31	13.8	14.4	-0.53	15.6	16.0	-0.43

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	58	60	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.22	15	-22	37	15.5	16.6	-1.13	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Sean Singletary	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-5	3	11.5	16.0	-4.50	1.7	14.7	-13.00
Matt Carroll	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-9	11	15.4	16.0	-0.61	19.2	13.5	5.70
Adam Morrison	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	17.1	15.7	1.45	13.1	14.5	-1.39
Raja Bell	78	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-11	15	15.8	16.2	-0.33	13.6	16.9	-3.30
Ryan Hollins	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-1	-5	16.8	15.6	1.24	16.2	13.6	2.65
D.J. Augustin	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-4	1	16.4	15.5	0.90	14.9	13.8	1.09
Emeka Okafor	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	15.6	16.6	-0.96	14.1	14.7	-0.67
Juwan Howard	17	16	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	4	-15	17.3	15.6	1.69	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Gerald Wallace	76	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	6	-19	15.7	16.9	-1.24	14.5	13.5	0.98
Raymond Felton	88	89	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.25	-13	6	-19	15.9	16.1	-0.26	14.2	14.9	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
NYK 100, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.41,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0,0	93.6%
CHI 83, MIL 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	93.4%