NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	4.9 [859]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +10.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	75		Comeback	1.8 [758]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -12.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.02	11	63%	0.13	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.05
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	38%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	19	42%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	5	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.04	9	80%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	13	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	16	41%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	10	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	26.6	16.3	26.5	2.3	30.7	129.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.8%

CHI +2.9%

CHI +15.7%

MIL -2.9%

CHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.7	18.1	15.5	102.5	93.8	105.7
season	15.7	16.2		106.5	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	17.9	16.7	20.7	17.7
MIL	16.7	20.0	17.6	18.2	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	2	4	17.0	19.8	-2.76	17.3	20.3	-2.98
Omer Asik	24	24	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	0	8	18.1	17.5	0.58	18.3	17.9	0.39
Carlos Boozer	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	8	-8	17.4	18.4	-1.00	17.1	20.5	-3.39
Luol Deng	66	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	9	-10	17.8	17.4	0.39	17.3	20.8	-3.43
Keith Bogans	26	27	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	1	6	17.2	18.0	-0.83	17.3	18.5	-1.21
Ronnie Brewer	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	1	6	17.7	17.7	-0.02	18.5	17.6	0.97
Taj Gibson	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	0	8	18.4	17.4	1.00	20.5	17.1	3.39
Kyle Korver	29	29	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	5	-2	18.1	17.5	0.55	19.7	17.1	2.61
Joakim Noah	57	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	8	-8	17.5	18.1	-0.58	17.9	18.3	-0.39
CJ Watson	21	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	6	-4	19.8	17.0	2.76	20.3	17.3	2.98

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	46	46	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.23	9	-17	26	17.0	19.6	-2.60	17.7	17.7	0.00
Jon Brockman	15	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-11	14	17.1	18.3	-1.14	17.8	17.7	0.06
Earl Boykins	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-11	14	18.2	18.0	0.13	20.7	16.8	3.88
Corey Maggette	21	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	0	-8	19.8	17.4	2.37	18.9	17.2	1.67
Brandon Jennings	48	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.13	-3	-5	2	17.1	19.5	-2.34	16.8	19.1	-2.23
John Salmons	65	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-7	6	17.6	20.0	-2.38	16.8	21.2	-4.40
Keyon Dooling	25	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	5	-18	20.2	17.1	3.11	18.8	17.3	1.53
Carlos Delfino	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-6	4	17.8	19.1	-1.34	17.6	18.3	-0.72
Andrew Bogut	60	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	2	-12	18.7	16.2	2.48	17.5	18.4	-0.95
Larry Sanders	39	40	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	10	-28	18.8	17.4	1.38	18.1	17.4	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 108, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
WAS 95, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
DET 89, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0	94.4%