NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	5.8 [640]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +4.2%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	1.5 [179]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -18.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	28	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.03
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	62%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mateen Cleaves	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	14	44%	-0.05	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Garces	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.07	0.03	15	66%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	15	53%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	13	31%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	16	49%	-0.03	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.05	0.03	10	23%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	28.3	15.7	25.3	2.4	31.5	132.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.1%

DET +9.2%

DET +17.9%

PHX -10.2%

DET +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	15.5	87.3	85.7	100.9
season	14.3	14.9		97.9	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		96.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.8	14.8	11.2	15.9	13.9
PHX	14.4	15.2	16.5	13.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	82	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-6	17	13.9	14.2	-0.35	15.0	14.3	0.69
Ben Wallace	78	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-2	9	14.0	13.8	0.17	14.9	14.9	0.04
Michael Curry	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-3	11	13.5	14.5	-1.05	15.5	14.0	1.49
Chucky Atkins	55	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	5	-5	14.8	12.9	1.99	15.7	13.7	2.01
Joe Smith	72	71	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	6	-7	14.6	12.3	2.25	15.0	14.6	0.42
Mikki Moore	41	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	-1	7	13.0	14.5	-1.50	15.0	14.8	0.17
Mateen Cleaves	40	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-3	11	12.3	15.0	-2.67	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Billy Owens	29	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	4	-3	14.4	13.7	0.69	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Eric Montross	14	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	12.0	14.2	-2.23	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Dana Barros	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.11	-6	11	-17	15.2	13.6	1.58	13.5	15.2	-1.71
Brian Cardinal	24	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	12	-19	14.8	13.6	1.19	13.0	15.4	-2.45

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	33	34	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-11	17	13.8	15.4	-1.58	13.9	13.9	-0.06
Ruben Garces	22	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-11	17	14.0	15.2	-1.16	14.9	13.6	1.30
Daniel Santiago	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	12.6	15.4	-2.79	11.5	14.4	-2.87
Corie Blount	29	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.36	10	-15	25	13.6	15.4	-1.86	15.7	13.1	2.57
Tony Delk	48	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-4	3	15.7	14.1	1.55	14.0	13.8	0.15
Paul McPherson	24	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	0	-5	16.0	14.6	1.40	12.7	14.3	-1.65
Chris Dudley	35	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	5	-15	16.4	14.1	2.34	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Rodney Rogers	81	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-7	9	14.0	19.3	-5.32	13.6	15.5	-1.93
Elliot Perry	87	90	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	1	-7	14.8	16.0	-1.24	14.0	13.0	1.04
Clifford Robinson	65	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	6	-17	15.4	13.8	1.58	13.9	13.9	0.06
Shawn Marion	50	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	9	-23	16.2	13.5	2.70	14.1	13.8	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.06,0,0	94.6%
SEA 112, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.06,0,0	94.6%
CHI 83, MIL 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.4%