NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	5.7 [644]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +15.1%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	1.5 [410]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (MIA): -20.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.01	5	121%	0.23	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	68%	0.13	3	-0.06	11	100%	0.05
Allan Houston	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	76%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	46%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	55%	-0.01	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
John Starks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	7	44%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Buck Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.04	0.03	17	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
John Crotty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	16	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	2	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.09	0.07	19	62%	0.01	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	0.03	13	43%	-0.09	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.7	33.0	18.8	30.0	2.0	50.6	168.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.9%

NYK +23.4%

MIA -0.6%

NYK +1.6%

MIA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.0	15.6	105.3	103.1	104.4
season	15.1	15.8		102.0	103.1
opponent	16.3	16.1		98.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.2	17.8	16.3	13.0	15.1
MIA	14.6	16.5	16.5	13.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	86	87	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.47	2	-1	3	14.7	19.4	-4.77	14.7	18.1	-3.40
Larry Johnson	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-7	15	16.2	12.5	3.72	15.4	14.1	1.25
Chris Childs	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	0	1	14.1	18.0	-3.95	14.3	17.0	-2.65
Patrick Ewing	79	81	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	2	-3	15.3	14.1	1.20	15.3	13.8	1.46
Allan Houston	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-6	13	15.5	14.5	1.06	15.5	14.3	1.22
John Starks	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.45	-8	9	-17	14.1	16.2	-2.07	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Buck Williams	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	-3	7	16.4	14.7	1.67	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Scott Brooks	1	2	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	-1	3	16.0	15.1	0.88	27.0	14.8	12.22
Charlie Ward	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	7	-13	16.2	14.7	1.54	16.2	14.5	1.64
John Wallace	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	14.2	15.3	-1.13	13.2	15.3	-2.04

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Anderson	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-4	7	6.0	15.1	-9.13	0.0	15.3	-15.29
John Crotty	2	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	1	-3	27.0	14.8	12.22	16.0	15.1	0.88
Alonzo Mourning	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	3	-7	16.6	13.8	2.74	18.5	12.4	6.13
Keith Askins	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-5	9	14.4	15.7	-1.35	14.1	16.2	-2.07
P.J. Brown	61	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	6	-13	16.0	13.4	2.57	16.1	13.4	2.78
Voshon Lenard	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-3	5	14.5	17.4	-2.89	14.9	16.3	-1.43
Jamal Mashburn	89	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	1	-3	15.1	13.7	1.42	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Tim Hardaway	87	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-1	1	14.6	19.4	-4.87	14.7	19.3	-4.65
Ike Austin	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.52	1	-2	3	14.6	16.4	-1.80	13.9	18.4	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.41,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
MIA 93, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0	94.1%
SAS 102, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%