inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 99 Excitement7.9 [242] MVPDarius Songaila (WAS): +25.7%
Washington Wizards 101 Comeback2.8 [505] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -41.9%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic0.200,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.20.190.010.001575%0.2000.00250%-0.01
Delonte West0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.03-0.00671%0.1100.002100%0.02
Damon Jones0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.080.060.020.00764%0.0800.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.023100%0.062-0.052100%0.01
Devin Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.01-0.030.040.00550%0.052-0.042100%0.02
Wally Szczerbiak-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00933%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Joe Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.01539%-0.012-0.06862%-0.09
Anderson Varejao-0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.13-0.070.00922%-0.123-0.0900%0.00
LeBron James-0.420,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.42-0.11-0.300.012248%-0.137-0.29875%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.140.120.00888%0.2600.001100%0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.030.01970%0.1100.002100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.001059%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.10.100.030.120.04467%0.162-0.05786%0.02
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001446%0.0300.00956%-0.07
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.03-0.00250%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Dominic McGuire00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00850%0.072-0.09475%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18-0.18-0.06-0.100.021846%-0.054-0.13560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.83.530.420.426.63.649.1161.4
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +30.3%
WAS +16.8%
CLE -26.6%
WAS +29.4%
WAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEWASNBACLEWASNBA
this game16.814.715.4108.8109.8105.7
season16.416.1104.0106.8
opponent15.515.2107.4104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.415.119.016.916.8
WAS14.216.915.312.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic5051-0.00-0.500.49-0.186-81417.016.50.5016.512.53.99
Anderson Varejao5453-0.04-0.470.43-0.123-5817.416.01.3716.312.53.84
Delonte West6261-0.07-0.430.35-0.3710-122215.918.8-2.9115.113.81.31
Wally Szczerbiak2425-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-75-1218.316.32.0613.015.3-2.35
Ben Wallace6461-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-64-1016.318.0-1.6315.313.41.89
Damon Jones2629-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.19-64-1017.416.60.8513.215.3-2.09
LeBron James8183-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.523-5816.717.5-0.7714.912.42.47
Devin Brown4850-0.520.02-0.54-0.31-75-1217.116.50.5712.717.1-4.41
Joe Smith4647-0.540.04-0.57-0.36-64-1016.617.1-0.5013.016.4-3.38

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeShawn Stevenson75740.440.060.380.4402-215.013.21.8416.518.2-1.68
Caron Butler78790.440.060.380.4402-215.012.92.0616.618.4-1.85
Darius Songaila36360.440.060.380.0613-112413.415.5-2.1618.116.02.06
Antawn Jamison73720.380.120.250.41-13-415.013.51.5116.418.2-1.77
Nick Young35330.370.130.240.148-61414.015.1-1.0419.715.24.57
Brendan Haywood62600.280.220.070.34-24-615.313.31.9915.918.5-2.53
Antonio Daniels59600.110.39-0.270.29-68-1415.014.10.9615.818.8-2.97
Roger Mason Jr.15150.070.43-0.350.0120213.115.0-1.8416.017.0-0.97
Andray Blatche23220.050.45-0.400.08-13-413.415.1-1.7118.016.41.63
Dominic McGuire44-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-35-812.014.8-2.8023.216.56.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.82,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 86, BKN 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.85,192.7%
SAS 84, HOU 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.95,192.3%
CHA 81, CHI 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,192.3%