NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	7.9 [242]		MVP	Darius Songaila (WAS): +25.7%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	2.8 [505]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -41.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.01	0.00	15	75%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	39%	-0.01	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.09
Anderson Varejao	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	9	22%	-0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.42	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.42	-0.11	-0.30	0.01	22	48%	-0.13	7	-0.29	8	75%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.12	0.00	8	88%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	10	59%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.12	0.04	4	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	14	46%	0.03	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.07
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.10	0.02	18	46%	-0.05	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.5	30.4	20.4	26.6	3.6	49.1	161.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.3%

WAS +16.8%

CLE -26.6%

WAS +29.4%

WAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	15.4	108.8	109.8	105.7
season	16.4	16.1		104.0	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	15.1	19.0	16.9	16.8
WAS	14.2	16.9	15.3	12.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	50	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-8	14	17.0	16.5	0.50	16.5	12.5	3.99
Anderson Varejao	54	53	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-5	8	17.4	16.0	1.37	16.3	12.5	3.84
Delonte West	62	61	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.37	10	-12	22	15.9	18.8	-2.91	15.1	13.8	1.31
Wally Szczerbiak	24	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	5	-12	18.3	16.3	2.06	13.0	15.3	-2.35
Ben Wallace	64	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	4	-10	16.3	18.0	-1.63	15.3	13.4	1.89
Damon Jones	26	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	4	-10	17.4	16.6	0.85	13.2	15.3	-2.09
LeBron James	81	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.52	3	-5	8	16.7	17.5	-0.77	14.9	12.4	2.47
Devin Brown	48	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	5	-12	17.1	16.5	0.57	12.7	17.1	-4.41
Joe Smith	46	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	4	-10	16.6	17.1	-0.50	13.0	16.4	-3.38

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	75	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	15.0	13.2	1.84	16.5	18.2	-1.68
Caron Butler	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	15.0	12.9	2.06	16.6	18.4	-1.85
Darius Songaila	36	36	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-11	24	13.4	15.5	-2.16	18.1	16.0	2.06
Antawn Jamison	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	3	-4	15.0	13.5	1.51	16.4	18.2	-1.77
Nick Young	35	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	-6	14	14.0	15.1	-1.04	19.7	15.2	4.57
Brendan Haywood	62	60	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	4	-6	15.3	13.3	1.99	15.9	18.5	-2.53
Antonio Daniels	59	60	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	8	-14	15.0	14.1	0.96	15.8	18.8	-2.97
Roger Mason Jr.	15	15	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	0	2	13.1	15.0	-1.84	16.0	17.0	-0.97
Andray Blatche	23	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	3	-4	13.4	15.1	-1.71	18.0	16.4	1.63
Dominic McGuire	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	12.0	14.8	-2.80	23.2	16.5	6.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, BKN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.85,1	92.7%
SAS 84, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.95,1	92.3%
CHA 81, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1	92.3%